The tool allows us to toggle the tease total to see how a play has performed against various numbers. Normally, I stick to the default of 4 points, but I dipped down a little extra for PHI-GSW.
Teaser odds: +124
No Joel Embiid, and Tyrese Maxey is questionable due to illness? Even at their set -4.5 spread, the Warriors are very appealing in this setting. So much so that both the sharps and the public are together in backing Golden State, with the Warriors receiving 76% of the spread bets for this game and 89% of the handle.
On top of the status of Philly’s stars, Golden State has covered the 4.5-point teaser in the last five games. Of course in this instance, there’s no covering with this tease — the Warriors need to win. Good thing they tend to do that when playing as road favorites; they’re 6-2 straight-up in that setting. Additionally, the Warriors are 7-1 straight-up when playing as a favorite after a win, whereas the 76ers are 2-8 straight-up when playing as underdogs after a loss.
Even with the spread set at 11.5, the Cavs are getting 92% of the handle for this game and 82% of bets. Like Golden State, Cleveland is a sharp and public play.
But, getting this number down below 9.5 is still huge. The Cavs are 13-10 against the spread when playing as favorites after a loss. However, they’ve only won by double digits in 10 of those 23 games.
Similarly, the Wizards are 19-19-1 ATS as dogs following a loss. But if they had a spread of 17 in each of those 39 games, they’d be 15-24 ATS in this setting. On top of that, Washington is 6-12 ATS as home dogs following a loss.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.