The Monday work day is done. It’s time for Monday Night Football, and this week NFL fans will be treated with two games. As always, DraftKings Sportsbook provides plenty of ways for fans to get in on the action. Check out the NFL best bets for the Week 14 Monday Night Football matchups. The Miami Dolphins host the Tennessee Titans at 8:15 p.m. ET. Simultaneously, the Green Bay Packers visit the New York Giants.
Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins
Weekly Specials — Tyreek Hill and DeAndre Hopkins to combine for +225 receiving yards (+250)
Hill might reach this number on his own. Hopkins is just insurance. It’s prime time and Hill is the most prime-time player in the NFL. He’s been that guy for almost a decade. It’s unbelievable. The future Hall of Famer has accomplished a lot, but he hasn’t done it all yet. That could change this season.
The current receiving yards record is 1,964 yards. Calvin Johnson’s name is etched next to the number in the record book. Hill is on pace for 2,098. It’s unthinkable that a player could surpass the 2,000-yard mark. It’s unthinkable that anyone other than a quarterback could win the MVP award in the modern NFL. Don’t tell that to Hill. He has no doubt. Who has any doubt? Who left among us doubts what Hill can accomplish? A handful of popular QBs have better MVP odds than Hill, but there are plenty of games left to be played. And one is a prime-time matchup in Miami in front of all eyes on Monday December 11.
Hopkins has over 40 yards receiving in 10 of his 12 games, and he averages 64.5 yards a game. That helps, but Hill might not need it.
Dolphins -13 (-110)
Has the trend been broken? The 2023 season has been the “Year of the Under.” Offense hasn’t necessarily been in short supply. Defenses are not dominating the league. It’s simply a case of poor line setting by the sports books and too much faith in backup quarterbacks. This has been painfully clear in prime-time games. That is until last week. Both prime-time games went over. Will the under trend return or will Miami’s offense light up the scoreboard as per usual?
Miami averages 32 points per game (second-most). Forget the under trend. The Dolphins will score, and the more a team scores, the more likely it is to cover the spread. Miami is 8-4 ATS this season. They’re 4-1 ATS as home favorites. In those five contests, their average margin of victory is 21.4 points. Tennessee is 1-4 ATS as road underdogs. They’re average margin of victory is -12.6. Actually, don’t forget the trends. Ignore the prime-time totals and trust the team trends. Lay the points and take Miami.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants
Packers -6.5 (-112)
This game is still happening. Just because everyone wants to watch the Dolphins doesn’t mean that the Packers-Giants game is fake. It’s a real game and there will be wagers. No one has to watch for wagers to win. But they will. Everyone has multiple screens. This is clearly the small-screen game. That’s fine. Small screens can still pay big.
The Packers hit the big plays last week and upset the Chiefs. The breaks went their way. The biggest break was that the Chiefs were still deep in their annual midseason slumber. The Chiefs did not look good at Green Bay. Kansas City has only looked good on occasion rather than per usual. Maybe, the Packers’ win wasn’t a feather in their cap.
Asterisks and “yeah buts,” can be attached to all wins. The fact is that a win is a win. The Packers have won four of their last five games, and the Giants have won two in a row. If there was ever a time to downgrade or dismiss wins, it’s now. However, when both teams have beat inferior opponents, then it’s much easier to swallow.
The Giants were significant underdogs in both wins, but Tommy Devito stuck it to the sports books. The Packers have been three-point underdogs or larger in their last three wins. They were predicted to lose by a touchdown in each of the last two, but beat two playoff contenders by more than a touchdown. Devito is running pure, but the Packers are clean. They’re nice and tidy.
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