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Today’s NBA Betting Splits and Picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Monday, December 18

Josh Appelbaum breaks down today’s NBA betting splits on DraftKings Sportsbook and gives his top bets.

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Utah Jazz v Sacramento Kings Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images

Welcome to the inaugural edition of the DraftKings Sportsbook Betting Splits and Picks series! The goal of this daily article is to bypass the noise and bias of opinion-driven betting and instead focus on the cold hard data, thereby allowing bettors to make wagers based on their heads, not their hearts.

At VSiN, we post DraftKings Sportsbook Betting Splits on a daily basis. It is constantly being updated as more bets roll in and has quickly become one of our most popular and most bookmarked pages on the website. Next to each game, we provide the percentage of real bets and dollars each side is receiving. By monitoring and dissecting the data, bettors are able to identify the most popular public plays, the top contrarian opportunities, and most important of all, the teams and sides taking in the most respected money from professional bettors.

Keep in mind that the “bets” column shows the percentage of overall tickets a side is receiving. This lets us know where the public is. If a team is getting 75% or more of the bets, that’s a public play that contrarian bettors will look to fade. The “handle” column represents the percentage of money or dollars a side is receiving. If a team is receiving at least 10 percentage points more money than bets, that’s a good indication of sharp money in their favor.

Today’s NBA Betting Splits on DraftKings Sportsbook

Top Sharp Bets

Nets at Jazz over 234.5 (60% bets, 84% money)

This total opened at 231.5 and has risen to 234.5, signaling major steam on the over. The over is only receiving 60% of bets, signaling modest public support, but 84% of the money. This represents a 24 percentage point smart money discrepancy toward the over. Overs are 207-170 (55%) this season. When the total is 230 or more, the over is 170-114 (60%). Non-conference overs are 48-36 (57%). The Jazz are 15-11 to the over this season, ranking 12th in pace and 25th in defensive efficiency.

Pistons at Hawks over 246.5 (33% bets, 72% money)

This total opened at 244.5 and has risen to 246.5, indicating sharp money taking the over. This movement is especially notable because the public is hammering the under (67% of bets). They are scared off by the super high total and are saying to themselves, “It’s so high it has to go under!” However, despite 67% of bets taking the under, the total has actually risen. This indicates sharp reverse line movement on a rare contrarian over. The over is only receiving 33% of bets but 72% of the money, a 39 percentage point smart money discrepancy. When the total is 240 or more, the over is 24-13 (65%). Both of these teams rank top five in pace and bottom five in defensive efficiency.

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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests. The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups.