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Full list of Week 16 straight-up picks with confidence levels

We make picks for all 16 NFL games with levels of confidence ahead of Week 16.

Tua Tagovailoa #1 and head coach Mike McDaniel of the Miami Dolphins speak on the field during the fourth quarter of the game against the Tennessee Titans at Hard Rock Stadium on December 11, 2023 in Miami Gardens, Florida. Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images

The NFL playoff race has three weeks remaining and we’re slowly sorting out the wheat from the chaff. In Week 15, the 49ers became the first team to clinch their division and four teams total have clinched a playoff berth. Four more teams can punch their postseason ticket in Week 16.

The week opens with a critical matchup of NFC playoff contenders as the 7-7 Rams host the 7-7 Saints. Saturday features an NBC/Peacock doubleaheader with three of the four teams in contention for an AFC wild card berth. The biggest games on Sunday see the Lions travel to face the Vikings with a chance to clinch the NFC North title and the Dolphins hosting the Cowboys in a potential Super Bowl preview. The holiday weekend wraps with a Christmas tripleheader.

I’m back once again with straight-up picks for Week 16 of the regular season. I pick each game’s winner, and then slot the picks based on confidence levels — high, medium, low, and no. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicates a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win.

Last week, I was 9-7 overall with my picks. I nailed both my high confidence picks and missed on both of my no confidence picks. I finished 3-2 on medium confidence picks and 4-3 on low confidence picks.

High confidence

Bills over Chargers
Packers over Panthers
Chiefs over Raiders
Eagles over Giants

Medium confidence

Rams over Saints
Dolphins over Cowboys
Broncos over Patriots
49ers over Ravens

Low confidence

Bengals over Steelers
Lions over Vikings
Browns over Texans
Commanders over Jets***
Bears over Cardinals
Titans over Seahawks***

No confidence

Colts over Falcons***
Buccaneers over Jaguars***