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Fantasy Football Picks Today: Top DraftKings NFL DFS Targets, Values for January 6

Garion Thorne gives his top studs and value plays at each position for Week 18’s two-game DraftKings NFL slate on Saturday.

NFL: Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

This is it. The final week of the NFL’s regular season. There’s a lot of pointless football going on this weekend, but luckily for us, that nonsense waits till Sunday. On Saturday, we’ve got two games lined up and each has serious playoff ramifications — even if the Ravens are going to be resting some starters.

Let’s dive in and break down everything you need to know.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $1.5M Saturday Special [$500K to 1st] (Sat)


QUARTERBACK

Stud

C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts, $7,300 - Stroud returned to action last Sunday following a two-week absence, throwing for 213 yards and a touchdown in a victory over the Titans. For the season as a whole, the rookie pivot has looked amazing, averaging 0.53 DKFP per drop back. That figure is a top-10 mark in the NFL, ahead of QBs like Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert and Kyler Murray. Still, some of Stroud’s viability on this small slate is simply a product of circumstance. Texans-Colts has the higher projected total of the two Saturday games, and getting to play in a dome in January is always a blessing.

Value

Mason Rudolph, Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens, $5,400 - I thought long and hard about Tyler Huntley ($5,700) and his dual-threat ability, yet Rudolph seems like the safer option. The veteran has played well the past two weeks, and his presence has coincided with an offensive awakening for the Steelers. To wit, Pittsburgh’s produced 32.0 points per game since Week 16. That’s not all Rudolph, but he has thrown for 564 yards with a 9.2-yard aDOT in that span. That’s not nothing. Plus, there’s the elephant in the room of Baltimore resting players. What caliber of Ravens D/ST ($3,300) will even be on the field?


RUNNING BACK

Stud

Devin Singletary, Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts, $6,000 - While Johnathan Taylor ($7,400) might appear to be the preferred play in this tier, the Texans have been far more stout against the run than the Colts this season. In fact, Indianapolis is surrendering the fourth-most DKFP per game to opposing RBs and the sixth-most opponent rushing yards per game (127.8). For his part, Singletary sports a 67.6% snap share dating back to Week 8 and he’s highly involved in Houston’s passing attack. There’s not much more you can ask for in terms of role from an RB in the low $6K range.

Value

Zack Moss, Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans, $5,000 - Another reason to maybe shy away from the aforementioned Taylor is Moss, who appears to be ready to return from a two-game injury absence on Saturday. The last time both backs were active for the same matchup? All the way back in Week 12, where Moss saw 10 touches and racked up 70 scrimmage yards. Moss doesn’t have the highest ceiling — that’ll be whichever Ravens reserve RB emerges as the team’s starter — but he definitely has a sturdy floor.


WIDE RECEIVER

Stud

George Pickens, Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens, $5,600 - Has any person on the planet been happier than Pickens when it comes to the Steelers switching QBs? I doubt it. The sophomore wideout has been Rudolph’s clear first option, as Pickens has racked up 15 targets, 326 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns in Pittsburgh’s last two games. We all knew Pickens had the talent, he just didn’t have anyone to get him the ball. Baltimore’s secondary is beaten up — Kyle Hamilton (knee), Marlon Humphrey (calf) and Brandon Stephens (ankle) all missed most of Week 17 — and there’s no incentive to rush any starter back for Saturday. Pickens should continue to eat.

Value

Tylan Wallace, Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, $3,000 - If I’m being honest, Nelson Agholor ($3,300) is probably the correct Ravens wideout to put in lineups. However, it’s more fun to reference an asset that literally hasn’t caught a pass yet this season. Though it’s not like Wallace hasn’t showcased his playmaking ability. Just ask the Rams, as the third-year receiver ripped off a game-winning 76-yard OT punt return only a few weeks ago. The point is this: Odell Beckham ($4,700) and Zay Flowers ($6,000) are banged up. They will not be playing Saturday and someone needs to run routes for Huntley.


TIGHT END

Stud

Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts, $4,200 - This is not a strong tight end slate — especially if Isaiah Likely ($4,800) doesn’t end up seeing the field. Aside from Schultz, you’re mostly just taking a flier and hoping someone at the bare minimum find the end. For his part, Schultz ranks second on the Texans in red zone targets (13) and he has three games with at least 15.0 DKFP so far this season. Houston also owns this slate’s highest implied team total.


DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

Value

Steelers D/ST at Ravens, $3,100 - In a vacuum, the Steelers have a very good defensive unit. Entering Week 18, Pittsburgh is one of eight teams allowing fewer than 20.0 points per contest. In terms of DFS, the Steelers also rank ninth in the NFL in pressure rate (23.8%) and have forced an opponent turnover on 14.0% of drives — the fifth-best mark in the league. Now, they get to face a bunch of backups in a must-win spot. They’ll be popular, but I think they’ll be worth eating the chalk.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $1.5M Saturday Special [$500K to 1st] (Sat)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.