Whether you’re chasing or just not a football fan, there is always a Sunday NBA DFS slate waiting for you. These slates are not very big, so the research process can be light. While everyone else dedicates their day to the NFL, we can get ahead by digging into the four-game evening slate that starts at 6 p.m. ET.
Delay the work week a few more hours. Get in on some NBA DFS action, and start by enjoying another colorful weekend edition of the NBA Targets.
De’Aaron Fox, Sacramento Kings at Milwaukee Bucks, $8,800 — The Kings are a young team. Fox is a young superstar. The regular season still has meaning. Veteran teams mainly care about the playoffs. They take games off or play smaller roles during regular season contests. Young players play every game because they can. They play every game because their stats determine their next paycheck. Fox is in a slump. He desperately needs to break out of his funk. A paced-up spot against the Bucks could be what he needs to buck his recent trend of poor performances.
Tyler Herro, Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets, $8,100 — Miami is not an up-tempo team, but their focused volume makes up for the lack of opportunities. An eight-man rotation is a real possibility on Sunday. The starters will play close to 40 minutes and the several players off the bench will get at least 20 minutes. In a matchup against the third-worst defense in the NBA, the entire Heat rotation is in play. Herro injured his shoulder in Wednesday’s game but still played 36 minutes. On Friday, he got the night off, so he should be good to go on Sunday. The Heat can’t afford to sit everyone. But if they do, then there will be real value in picking the Heat role players against the Hornets.
Nick Smith Jr., Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat, $4,600 — LaMelo Ball ($9,500) is back, but that doesn’t hurt Smith’s value. Smith is a second-unit guy. He’s played 32, 25 and 24 minutes in the last three games. In two of those contests, he attempted 15 field goals. In the three games, he scored 26.5, 16.25 and 24 DKFP. The 27th pick in 2023 NBA Draft rebounds, he assists, and best off all — he chucks threes. With only four games on the Sunday DraftKings slate, Smith’s 15-DKFP floor could work. If he makes his 3-point attempts, then he’ll be an optimal DFS NBA value pick.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks vs. Sacramento Kings, $11,600 — It’s hard to avoid Antetokounmpo on a four-game slate. It would be hard to avoid him on a 15-game slate. His upside is unparalleled. The Bucks play fast, and they rate out as one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA. The Kings are also productive offensively. This matchup seems like the game to stack on Sunday. There will be salary constraints, and sacrifices will need to be made. That sacrifice should not be fading Antetokounmpo.
Kevin Durant, Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers, $9,400 — It’s time to stop messing around. The Suns do not want to end up in the play-in tournament. They have the talent to earn home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. With their position in the standings, one would assume that Durant is having a down year. That’s not the case. His P+R+A stats (points, rebounds and assists) rank just outside of the top 5, and his 47% three-point rate is the best in the NBA.
Grayson Allen, Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers, $5,600 — How does one catch a falling knife? Wait for it to hit the floor. Has Allen’s price bottomed out? Could it sink further? Not if he sinks his shots. The Suns are running at full capacity. That means less volume for Allen, but not really. His role hasn’t changed. If anything, it’s better. This rotation is hard to guard, and Allen will receive less attention than before. His stock isn’t down because the Suns are healthy. His stock is down because his shooting has been off. A matchup with 10-win Portland is a great opportunity to get back on track.
Domantas Sabonis, Sacramento Kings at Milwaukee Bucks, $10,200 — The Bucks aren’t an elite DFS matchup, but it’s one of the more underrated matchups. They’re one of the fastest paced teams in the NBA. That should not go overlooked. Volume obviously increases in this matchup. What might get overlooked is that the Bucks have one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA. If a team wants to keep up, then they must step up. In terms of Versatility Index (producing in more than one statistic — points, assists and rebounds), Sabonis is a top-5 player in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo, Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets, $9,100 — As mentioned above, the Heat are running thin. Miami’s entire roster gets a bump in minutes and usage. With Jimmy Butler battling a toe injury, Miami’s remaining stars are forced to carry the load. Kyle Lowry ($4,800) and Caleb Martin ($5,600) are banged up and Tyler Herro’s status is uncertain Sunday. This is Bam’s team at the moment, and Sunday is a great moment. The Hornets are one of the best fantasy matchups for centers in DFS.
Nathan Mensah, Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat, $3,200 — The Heat’s limited roster works both ways. Suddenly, this is a winnable game for the Hornets. That might be a stretch. Charlotte is 8-27 and have lost 15 of their last 16 games. A win isn’t likely, but the matchup is easier. The undrafted rookie has inherited a role with starting center Mark Williams out. Mensah’s minutes have steadily risen over the last two weeks.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.