clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Fantasy Basketball Value Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Bargain Plays for January 10

Garion Thorne breaks down his top DraftKings value plays for Wednesday’s NBA slate.

Charlotte Hornets v Indiana Pacers Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images

This is already a slate with major injury news, as Joel Embiid (knee), Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring), Cade Cunningham (knee) and Jimmy Butler (toe) have all been ruled out for their respective teams. That’s not even mentioning all the players currently listed as questionable or doubtful.

But we preserver. Let’s dig in and find some values.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $333K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]

For up-to-the-minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Network app. You also can follow DK Network on Twitter @dknetwork.

PG Nick Smith Jr., Charlotte Hornets vs. Sacramento Kings, $4,200

The Hornets are running out of healthy players. LaMelo Ball (ankle), Gordon Hayward (calf) and Mark Williams (back) are all dealing with long-term injuries, while both P.J. Washington ($5,500; foot) and Cody Martin ($5,300; groin) are in danger of missing their second consecutive contest on Wednesday night. The impact here is two-fold. On the upper-end of the pricing spectrum, Terry Rozier ($8,500) is simply too cheap. The veteran has exceeded 50.0 DKFP in three of his last four starts and was specifically forced to log 44.2 minutes in Monday’s loss to Chicago. On the value side of things, all these ailments have created a lane where Smith Jr. is a bona fide sixth man. To wit, in that same game against Chicago, Smith Jr. played 32.3 minutes off the bench, finishing with 15 points, 15 field goal attempts and a 26.0% usage rate. This is a good matchup, too. The Kings are allowing 118.8 opponent points per 100 possessions so far in January, and just let the lowly Pistons have a 47-point first quarter on Tuesday. Smith Jr. can take advantage.

C Luke Kornet, Boston Celtics vs. Minnesota Timberwolves, $4,400

There’s a lot of moving pieces to keep track of in Boston’s rotation. Let’s catch you up. First and foremost, after missing Monday’s loss to Indiana, Jayson Tatum ($10,300; ankle) does not carry an injury designation on Wednesday. Neither does Sam Hauser ($4,100; shoulder). However, three key assets are listed as questionable for the Celtics: Kristaps Porzingis ($8,400; knee), Jrue Holiday ($7,100; elbow) and Al Horford ($6,600; illness). Right off the bat, I think we can assume that Horford will not be suiting up — especially with Boston on the first leg of a back-to-back set. So, if Porzingis is joining his teammate on the sideline in street clothes, Kornet suddenly becomes a focal point of this slate. In his lone start this season, Kornet dropped 40.0 DKFP against the Raptors. For 2023-24 as a whole, the center is averaging a noteworthy 0.97 DKFP per minute. Minnesota will force opponents to play big with their massive starting lineup. Kornet would need to log a heavy workload if he’s the last man standing.

PG/SG Andrew Nembhard, Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards, $5,200

Just get a piece of this game. Somehow. Any way you can, honestly. It doesn’t take an investigative journalist to figure out why this contest has this slate’s highest implied total by a significant margin. The Pacers enter Wednesday sitting first in the NBA in pace (103.6), while the Wizards rank second (103.5). Washington combines that fact with the league’s worst defensive rating (121.9), while the Pacers are also one of just five teams currently conceding at least 120 opponent points per 100 possessions. Points will be scored. Then there’s the matter of the aforementioned Haliburton, who will miss his first game since injuring his hamstring on Monday. Haliburton owns a team-high 26.0% usage rate, so there’s a serious void to be filled. T.J. McConnell ($6,700) will carry much of that burden, and he’s obviously viable in his own right, yet don’t sleep on Nembhard, who has seen his usage rate (21.1%) and DKFP per minute production (0.97) spike with Haliburton off the floor. The price is right, too.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $333K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]

The Crown Is Yours: Sign up for DraftKings and experience the ultimate host for games and betting experiences!

For sports betting, head over to DraftKings Sportsbook or download the DK Sportsbook app.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.