As the regular NFL season begins to wind down, we start to get some games played on Saturday. This week features three games spread throughout the day. Let’s get into some of my favorite targets and values to help you build your DraftKings DFS lineup.
Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions $6,000 — Well, I mean Wilson and Jared Goff ($6,500) are the only two starting quarterbacks on this slate. Of the six played, four of them backups (or backup, backup if you’re Nick Mullens ($5,000). Nonetheless, Wilson is in a great spot against a suddenly struggling Lions team. This defense has allowed an average of 29.8 points over thier last five games, two of which were against the Bears. The Lions haven’t been generating a lot of pressure to oppoing quarterbacks, which will benefit Wilson. With a clean pocket he has a 73% completion percentage with an adjusted completion of 82.5% and 7.1 YPA. Wilson has also been rushing the ball a ton lately, averaging almost eight carries a game over the last five weeks. This has also been happening in the red zone, giving him his only two rushing touchdowns on the year.
Mitch Tribusky, Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts, $5,300 — I didn’t imagine writing up Trubisky during the 2023 season but that’s how this year has been. I’m not crazy about using him but he does have rushing upside, as shown last week. Running it eight times, he gained 30 yards and a touchdown, helping him earn 21.6 DKFP. Last week wasn’t an easy matchup against the Patriots and Trubisky still completed 63% of his pass attempts for 190 yards. The Colts continue to deal with injuries in their secondary, which should open up some soft matchups for Tribusky to challenge.
Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals vs. Minnesota Vikings, $6,600 — Maybe I’ll be a complete sucker this week, but if you’re in this range, I’m paying for Mixon over Zack Moss ($6,200). Sure, Moss is the workhorse currently with Jonathan Taylor out but he’s disappointed two weeks in a row. He’s logged 38 touches for 113 yards since taking on the starting role while averaging 8.6 DKFP. Mixon, on paper, doesn’t have a great matchup against the Vikings. However, one difference in his role without Joe Burrow has been his targets out of the backfield. Mixon has seen 13 targets with Jake Browning, leading to nine catches for 139 yards in three games. The Vikings have allowed the seventh-most receptions to opposing running backs. I’ll take my chances with the lesser owned Mixon over Moss.
Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts, $5,100 – Harris is going to be the most popular value option at running back. You can’t expect to find much value at this position unless you’re really going off the board. Harris has a great matchup against a Colts run defense that’s struggled all season long. They’re allowing an average of 106 running yards and 27.7 DKFP per game to the position.
Michael Pittman Jr, Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, $7,300 — Volume is king and that’s what Pittman has seen over the past month. Averaging 13 targets over his last four games, he’s turned that into 37 receptions, 391 receiving yards and a touchdown. Pittman is also fourth in the league amongst all wide receivers with 19 red zone targets but has only four touchdowns to show for it. Nonetheless, he’ll draw good matchups against Levi Wallance and Joey Porter Jr, making him my perferred option as the top receiver on this slate. Wallace, in particular, has allowed an absurd 14.2 YPR and six touchdowns in coverage.
Jameson Williams, Detroit Lions vs. Denver Broncos, $3,400 – This is a really tough slate overall for value. I’m willing to take a shot on the big play upside for Williams, who almost completed blanked the box score last week. His only touch was a four yard carry that netted him 0.4 DKFP. However, we have seen that huge upside before, as he’s gone over 40 receiving yards three times on just two receptions. Williams is on the field a ton, as he played on the second-most offensive snaps against the Bears. If you’re in need of salary relief, this is a boom-or-bust option at wide receiver.
Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions vs. Denver Broncos, $6,000 – When building a lineup, LaPorta is my first click. This is a massive spot for him against the Broncos, who have been one of the worst defenses in the league against the position. They’ve allowed an average of 16 DKFP, 69 receiving yards and six touchdowns to the position. LaPorta is a proven red zone threat as well, drawing 10 targets and scoring four time within the red zone. In what is expected to be the highest scoring game on the slate, LaPorta is my top overall option.
Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts, $3,900 – The ownership will be there on LaPorta, so you could also pay down for the Steelers tight end. Trubisky targeted him seven times last week but only resulted in three catches for 18 yards. The matchup this week is much, much better against the Colts. Like the Broncos, the Colts also struggle against tight ends, allowing 13.7 DKFP.
Bengals D/ST, $3,600 – With so many backups on this slate, you can really go in so many directions. I do like the top priced Bengals going up against Mullens. The Vikings will be down Brian O’Neill at tackle, which could be considered or a good or bad things depending on how you view it. While he’s been solid overall, he has allowed four sacks and four hurries over the last two games. David Quessenberry should step in at RT, making just his second start of the season. We haven’t seen much of Mullens since 2020 after his tenure with the 49ers ended. When he was in the starting role, he did throw 22 interceptions in 2018 and 2020.
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