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Pick on the Spread for Florida-Auburn on March 17

Pick on the Spread for Florida-Auburn on March 17

Published:

By: Greg Peterson

The Florida Gators and Auburn Tigers will meet in the SEC Tournament Championship with both teams safely locked into the NCAA Tournament but one more big win could bolster their resumes even further.

Florida Gators vs. Auburn Tigers (-5.5, 155.5)

Both teams have been efficient on offense with Auburn ranked 13th in the nation in points scored on a per-possession basis while Florida ranks 21st in this category using its bigs to generate the majority of the production.

The Gators entered Saturday grabbing 37.3% of their missed shots as an offensive rebound, the third-highest rebound rate in the nation and now face a Tigers team that has very few holes but cleaning up the defensive boards is one of them.

Auburn entered Saturday allowing opponents to grab 28.6% of their missed shots as an offensive rebound, which ranks 249th while Florida ranks 100th when playing on the road.

The physical style of basketball and the way Florida attacks the glass gives the team plenty of opportunities at the free throw line even outside its home arena, ranking 18th in free throws made per possession in road games.

Florida should get even more opportunities than normal at the free throw line as Auburn ranks 324th in the nation in fouls committed on a per-possession basis when playing on the road.

When these teams last met up in Gainesville on Feb. 10, Florida picked up an 81-65 win, holding Auburn to 3-of-17 from deep and committing eight fewer turnovers.

While duplicating the level of domination they had the first time around is unlikely, the Gators match up well with the Tigers and their stable of forwards should keep this game snug, giving the Gators a chance to win the SEC Tournament.

The Play: Florida +5.5

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