After Week 9:
Jordan Love leads the league in passing yards (2,618), while Matthew Stafford has attempted the most passes (346). Joe Burrow leads the NFL in completion percentage (74%) and has thrown the most touchdowns (23). Justin Herbert and Drake Maye have thrown the most interceptions (11), while Deshaun Watson has taken the most sacks (33). Love has completed the most passes over 20 yards (40) and leads the league in passes over 40 yards (12). Finally, Drew Lock and Brock Purdy have the longest completion at 82 yards.
Here are my favorite QB/WR stacks for Week 10.
Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $2.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st].
5. Brock Purdy ($7,000) & George Kittle ($6,500), 49ers at Cowboys
I had this stack higher, but moved it down because Christian McCaffrey and the 49ers run game should have tremendous success against this abysmal Cowboys run defense. But while the volume may not be particularly robust for the aerial attack, there will still be over 20 opportunities, and the efficiency should be sky-high. Purdy has completed 69.1% of his 236 passes for 1,980 yards, 17 touchdowns and five interceptions. Due to injuries, tight end George Kittle has been the number-one option in the passing game, leading the team with 53 targets this season. Over the last three contests, Kittle has garnered eight, 10 and seven targets.
The Cowboys’ -76.13 expected points allowed by their pass defense is fifth-worst in the NFL, while the unit has allowed a 65.5% completion percentage, 16 touchdowns and a 99.1 passer rating.
This game has the highest total on the slate at 55.5, so there should be plenty of fantasy goodies.
4. Dak Prescott ($6,400) & CeeDee Lamb ($8,800), Cowboys vs. 49ers
Something about the highest total and fantasy goodies. Prescott has completed 64.9% of his 336 passes for 2,381 yards, 16 touchdowns and five interceptions. He’s thrown multiple touchdowns in only four of nine games, and the 49ers pass defense has been strong, allowing just 11 passing touchdowns and a passer rating of 88.7. That said, San Francisco has one of the best run defenses, allowing only 3.3 yards per carry, 80.9 yards per game and four touchdowns. The path of least resistance is through the air for Dallas, and the Niners will likely put points on the board, so the trainers better have the ice pack ready for Prescott’s shoulder when the clock hits zero. Lamb leads the league with 109 targets on the season, 10 more than second place.
3. Jordan Love ($6,500) & Christian Watson ($7,700)/Matthew Golden ($7,300), Packers vs. Vikings
Minnesota has the best pass defense in the league, bar none. But Love faced this unit back in Week 1, going 21-for-42 for 387 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. Adjustments will likely be made, but the one thing we can count on is volume. The Packers cannot run the ball even if they wanted to, with the 28th-ranked offensive line per PFF. Green Bay is averaging 3.0 yards per carry, so it only makes sense to put the ball in Love’s hands. Green Bay is second in passing-play percentage at 63.93%.
What makes Green Bay fun for fantasy is the highly concentrated nature of its offense. Love, Golden, and Watson. Golden has seen double-digit targets in four straight games, while Watson has garnered eight or more in three. Golden put up at least 20 FPTS in three of those games, with a high of 35.4 FPTS. Watson has finished with double-digit FPTS in three straight contests with a high of 33.1 FPTS.
2. Tyler Shough ($5,600) & Chris Olave ($7,000), Saints vs. Panthers
New Orleans is sixth in passing-play percentage at 61.77%. Shough attempted over 40 passes three times, with a high of 56 in Week 1. Over the last three games, Shough has attempted 35, 38 and 30 passes. Some of the glitter has flecked off Shough since he’s thrown multiple touchdowns only three times this season, but each time was for 3+ scores. I think there’s a chance he notches his fourth in this one; the Panthers lead the league in passing-play percentage, and their -50.19 expected points against the pass are 11th-worst in the NFL. Olave leads the Saints in targets by a wide margin (83) and has garnered double-digit looks in back-to-back games.
1. Bryce Young ($5,800) & Tetairoa McMillan ($6,700), Panthers at Saints
As mentioned in the Shough section, Carolina leads the league in passing-play percentage at 64.2%. The efficiency wasn’t great from Weeks 6 through 8, as Young completed less than 57% of his passes, but he bounced back last week with a 71.8% completion percentage and three touchdowns against a tough Broncos pass defense.
New Orleans has allowed a 65.5% completion percentage, 13 passing touchdowns and a passer rating of 99.6. The Saints defense has racked up 23 sacks, but the pressure rate is third-lowest despite blitzing at the eighth-highest rate.
Last week, Darren Waller and Tommy Tremble dominated with 10 and 6 targets, but both had been in the two-to-three-target range for much of the season. It was more of a matchup thing since Denver has strong corners and has been susceptible to tight ends. While New Orleans has allowed the seventh-most FPTS to tight ends this season, things should filter more towards McMillan and Jalen Coker in this one. McMillan leads the Panthers with 72 targets and eight red zone opportunities.
This game has a promising total of 48.5 points and will be played on the fast track of the Superdome.
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