Looking for Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Missouri State Bears betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook point spread, total and Moneyline betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before kickoff on Tuesday.
Sam Houston vs. Missouri State Best Picks Today
- Sam Houston +6 (-110): The widest gap on the board. Sam Houston draws just 29% of point-spread bets but 55% of the handle, a 26-point gap that points to larger bettors taking the points against the public’s Missouri State lean.
- Alton McCaskill Anytime TD Scorer (+125): McCaskill is Sam Houston’s shortest-priced touchdown scorer, and Missouri State allows 34.9 points per game.
Game Info
| Kickoff | Tuesday, October 27 at 8:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO |
| TV | ESPN2 |
Sam Houston vs. Missouri State Odds
| Market | Bears (Home) | Bearkats (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Point spread | -6 (-110) | +6 (-110) |
| Total | Over 52.5 (-105) | Under 52.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -225 | +185 |
DraftKings Betting Trends
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point spread | Missouri State -6 | 71% | 45% |
| Point spread | Sam Houston +6 | 29% | 55% |
| Total | Over 52.5 | 76% | 70% |
| Total | Under 52.5 | 24% | 30% |
| Moneyline | Missouri State | 73% | 72% |
| Moneyline | Sam Houston | 27% | 28% |
The point spread is where the money breaks from the tickets: Missouri State has 71% of bets but only 45% of the handle, while Sam Houston +6 holds 55% of the money on 29% of bets. The total and Moneyline are lopsided toward the Over and Missouri State, with no meaningful gap.
QB Matchup
| Stat | Henry Belin IV (MOST) | Landyn Locke (SHSU) |
|---|---|---|
| Comp% | 67.6% | 62.3% |
| Pass YPG | 147.8 | 236.1 |
| TD/INT | 6/4 | 12/5 |
| Passer Rating | 147.5 | 133.7 |
Team Comparison
| Stat | MOST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.4 | 20.1 |
| Points Allowed/Game | 34.9 | 25.3 |
| Yards/Game | 367.6 | 328.3 |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 434.6 | 341.7 |
| 3rd Down % | 35.2% | 34.7% |
| Turnovers | 10 | 8 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Sharp money on the underdog: Sam Houston +6 carries 55% of the point spread handle on just 29% of tickets, the clearest sign of bigger bettors on either side of this game.
- Defensive edge to Sam Houston: Sam Houston allows 25.3 points and 341.7 yards per game and holds opponents to a 30.2% third-down rate. Missouri State allows 34.9 points and 434.6 yards per game, with opponents converting 44.1% on third down.
- Total built on defense, not offense: The two offenses average a combined 44.5 points per game, well short of the 52.5 total, while the two defenses allow a combined 60.2. The public is on the Over with 76% of bets and 70% of the handle.
DraftKings Player Props
- Ramone Green (MOST) Anytime TD Scorer (-180): the shortest touchdown price on the board, also +310 to score 2+ TDs
- Connor Lair (MOST) Anytime TD Scorer (-165): priced just behind Green as Missouri State’s second scoring option
- Isaiah Myers (MOST) Anytime TD Scorer (-130): a third Missouri State scorer priced at odds-on
- Alton McCaskill (SHSU) Anytime TD Scorer (+125): Sam Houston’s shortest touchdown price against a defense allowing 34.9 points per game
- Grady O’Neill (SHSU) Anytime TD Scorer (+140): Sam Houston’s second-shortest scorer, ahead of Landan Brown and Chris Reed at +160
FAQs
What are the Sam Houston vs. Missouri State odds this week?
The Missouri State Bears are a 6-point favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the point-spread set at Missouri State -6 (-110). The total is set at 52.5, and Missouri State is -225 on the Moneyline.
What are CFB betting trends?
Betting trends show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting trends identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.