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NBA Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Wednesday, October 21

NBA Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Wednesday, October 21

Updated:

By: DK Network AI

Looking for today’s NBA public betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, spread and total betting percentages for all 11 games on Wednesday’s slate, from the Atlanta Hawks at the Orlando Magic to the Sacramento Kings at the Los Angeles Clippers, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before tip-off.


For up-to-date NBA betting information and data, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook betting splits page and player props page!


Best Bets for Wednesday’s NBA Slate

  • Jazz at Grizzlies Under 241.5 (-108): The Under holds 67% of bets and 98% of the handle, the widest Total gap on the slate.
  • Nets Spread +1.5 (-112): Brooklyn draws 45% of bets but 94% of the money, while the public leans toward Charlotte -1.5.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-123): Smith cleared this line in all of his last 10 games last season, averaging 27.4.
  • Clippers Spread -4.5 (-110): Los Angeles holds 91% of the handle on just 44% of bets.
  • Ace Bailey Over 11.5 Points (-104): Bailey topped 11.5 points in all of his last 10 games last season, averaging 18.5.

MarketMagic (ORL)Hawks (ATL)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-130+11068% / 32%82% / 18%
Spread-2.5 (-108)+2.5 (-112)61% / 39%27% / 73%
TotalOver 234.5 (-115)Under 234.5 (-105)41% / 59%51% / 49%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatORLATL
Record45-3746-36
Points/Game115.7 (15th)118.5 (6th)
Opp Points/Game115.1 (13th)116.0 (18th)
Offensive Rating111.7 (19th)113.2 (14th)
Defensive Rating111.6 (12th)111.0 (10th)
Field Goal %46.4% (21st)47.4% (13th)
3-Point %34.3% (T-27th)37.1% (5th)

Orlando draws 68% of Moneyline bets and 82% of the handle, but the Spread money flips: Atlanta +2.5 holds 73% of the handle on just 39% of bets. Atlanta finished 6th in scoring last season at 118.5 points per game and 5th in 3-point shooting.


MarketWizards (WAS)Bucks (MIL)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-175+14578% / 22%92% / 8%
Spread-4.5 (-105)+4.5 (-115)62% / 38%59% / 41%
TotalOver 239.5 (-102)Under 239.5 (-118)27% / 73%22% / 78%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatWASMIL
Record17-6532-50
Points/Game112.9 (25th)110.6 (29th)
Opp Points/Game124.9 (29th)116.8 (20th)
Offensive Rating108.2 (29th)110.4 (24th)
Defensive Rating119.6 (30th)116.4 (27th)
Field Goal %46.3% (22nd)47.7% (12th)
3-Point %35.9% (T-14th)38.7% (2nd)

Washington draws 92% of the Moneyline handle as a -175 favorite despite going 17-65 last season with the league’s worst defensive rating. The Under 239.5 holds 73% of bets and 78% of the money.


MarketNets (BKN)Hornets (CHA)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-102-11848% / 52%76% / 24%
Spread+1.5 (-112)-1.5 (-108)45% / 55%94% / 6%
TotalOver 219.5 (-108)Under 219.5 (-112)67% / 33%92% / 8%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatBKNCHA
Record20-6244-38
Points/Game105.9 (30th)116.0 (13th)
Opp Points/Game115.9 (17th)111.2 (7th)
Offensive Rating105.8 (30th)114.7 (9th)
Defensive Rating116.0 (26th)111.9 (T-14th)
Field Goal %44.3% (30th)46.0% (25th)
3-Point %34.0% (T-29th)37.8% (3rd)

Charlotte -1.5 draws 55% of Spread bets but just 6% of the handle, with 94% of the money on Brooklyn +1.5. The Over 219.5 also holds 92% of the handle, even though Brooklyn ranked last in points per game and offensive rating last season.


MarketHeat (MIA)Timberwolves (MIN)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-122+10236% / 64%29% / 71%
Spread-1.5 (-112)+1.5 (-108)55% / 45%75% / 25%
TotalOver 238.5 (-115)Under 238.5 (-105)38% / 63%27% / 73%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatMIAMIN
Record43-3949-33
Points/Game120.9 (2nd)118.0 (7th)
Opp Points/Game118.5 (22nd)114.6 (T-11th)
Offensive Rating113.9 (13th)114.1 (12th)
Defensive Rating111.5 (11th)110.2 (T-6th)
Field Goal %46.8% (15th)48.1% (9th)
3-Point %36.1% (T-11th)37.0% (6th)

Minnesota draws 71% of the Moneyline handle at +102, yet 75% of the Spread money backs Miami -1.5. The Under 238.5 holds 73% of the handle, and Minnesota ranked T-6th in defensive rating last season.


MarketRaptors (TOR)Bulls (CHI)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-440+34090% / 10%88% / 12%
Spread-10.5 (-105)+10.5 (-115)41% / 59%15% / 85%
TotalOver 237.5 (-108)Under 237.5 (-112)39% / 61%10% / 90%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatTORCHI
Record46-3631-51
Points/Game114.6 (T-21st)116.3 (T-11th)
Opp Points/Game111.8 (9th)121.5 (28th)
Offensive Rating113.0 (15th)110.5 (23rd)
Defensive Rating110.0 (5th)115.1 (22nd)
Field Goal %48.2% (T-7th)46.9% (14th)
3-Point %35.4% (21st)35.6% (T-17th)

Toronto is a -440 favorite with 90% of Moneyline bets, but Chicago +10.5 holds 85% of the Spread handle. The Under 237.5 draws 90% of the money, and Toronto ranked 5th in defensive rating last season.


MarketGrizzlies (MEM)Jazz (UTA)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-125+10531% / 69%13% / 87%
Spread-2.5 (-108)+2.5 (-112)34% / 66%29% / 71%
TotalOver 241.5 (-112)Under 241.5 (-108)33% / 67%2% / 98%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatMEMUTA
Record25-5722-60
Points/Game114.7 (20th)117.6 (9th)
Opp Points/Game120.7 (26th)126.0 (30th)
Offensive Rating109.7 (25th)111.2 (21st)
Defensive Rating115.8 (25th)119.3 (29th)
Field Goal %45.6% (27th)46.7% (T-16th)
3-Point %35.3% (22nd)34.5% (25th)

The Under 241.5 draws 98% of the handle on 67% of bets, the most lopsided Total on the slate. Utah also holds 87% of the Moneyline money at +105, after both teams went 1-9 over their final 10 games last season.


MarketPelicans (NOP)Pacers (IND)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+130-15517% / 83%12% / 88%
Spread+3.5 (-112)-3.5 (-108)42% / 58%66% / 34%
TotalOver 239.5 (-110)Under 239.5 (-110)32% / 68%7% / 93%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatNOPIND
Record26-5619-63
Points/Game115.5 (T-16th)112.4 (27th)
Opp Points/Game120.0 (24th)120.4 (25th)
Offensive Rating111.4 (20th)108.5 (T-27th)
Defensive Rating115.5 (23rd)115.7 (24th)
Field Goal %46.6% (T-19th)45.8% (26th)
3-Point %34.7% (24th)35.6% (T-17th)

Indiana is a 3.5-point road favorite with 83% of Moneyline bets, but 66% of the Spread handle backs New Orleans +3.5. The Under 239.5 holds 93% of the money.


MarketRockets (HOU)Mavericks (DAL)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-440+34075% / 25%20% / 80%
Spread-10.5 (-108)+10.5 (-112)19% / 81%12% / 88%
TotalOver 229.5 (-108)Under 229.5 (-112)54% / 46%44% / 56%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatHOUDAL
Record52-3026-56
Points/Game115.2 (18th)114.1 (23rd)
Opp Points/Game110.0 (4th)119.6 (23rd)
Offensive Rating114.8 (8th)108.5 (T-27th)
Defensive Rating110.2 (T-6th)113.9 (20th)
Field Goal %47.9% (10th)46.6% (T-19th)
3-Point %36.4% (10th)34.4% (26th)

Houston is a -440 favorite, yet Dallas holds 80% of the Moneyline handle on 25% of bets, and 88% of the Spread money is on Dallas +10.5. Houston went 9-1 over its final 10 games last season and 30-11 at home.


MarketTrail Blazers (POR)Suns (PHX)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-142+12067% / 33%72% / 28%
Spread-2.5 (-115)+2.5 (-105)62% / 38%80% / 20%
TotalOver 231.5 (-108)Under 231.5 (-112)32% / 68%10% / 90%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatPORPHX
Record42-4045-37
Points/Game115.5 (T-16th)112.6 (26th)
Opp Points/Game115.8 (16th)111.1 (6th)
Offensive Rating110.6 (22nd)112.0 (T-17th)
Defensive Rating111.7 (13th)110.7 (9th)
Field Goal %45.3% (29th)45.5% (28th)
3-Point %34.3% (T-27th)36.1% (T-11th)

Portland -2.5 draws 80% of the Spread handle on 62% of bets, and the Under 231.5 holds 90% of the money. Both teams ranked in the bottom three in field goal percentage last season.


MarketLakers (LAL)Warriors (GSW)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-230+19072% / 28%49% / 51%
Spread-6.5 (-110)+6.5 (-110)41% / 59%52% / 48%
TotalOver 234.5 (-112)Under 234.5 (-108)42% / 58%39% / 61%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatLALGSW
Record53-2937-45
Points/Game116.3 (T-11th)114.6 (T-21st)
Opp Points/Game114.6 (T-11th)115.2 (14th)
Offensive Rating115.7 (7th)112.0 (T-17th)
Defensive Rating113.3 (19th)112.6 (17th)
Field Goal %50.2% (1st)46.1% (24th)
3-Point %35.9% (T-14th)35.6% (T-17th)

Los Angeles draws 72% of Moneyline bets but only 49% of the handle, with Golden State holding 51% of the money at +190. The Lakers led the league in field goal percentage last season at 50.2%.


MarketClippers (LAC)Kings (SAC)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-185+15483% / 17%74% / 26%
Spread-4.5 (-110)+4.5 (-110)44% / 56%91% / 9%
TotalOver 227.5 (-110)Under 227.5 (-110)46% / 54%48% / 52%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatLACSAC
Record42-4022-60
Points/Game113.8 (24th)111.0 (28th)
Opp Points/Game112.6 (10th)121.0 (27th)
Offensive Rating114.6 (10th)109.0 (26th)
Defensive Rating112.8 (18th)118.0 (28th)
Field Goal %48.4% (T-4th)46.7% (T-16th)
3-Point %36.8% (7th)34.0% (T-29th)

The Clippers -4.5 draw 44% of Spread bets but 91% of the handle, one of the widest gaps on the slate. Sacramento went 7-34 on the road last season and ranked 28th in defensive rating.


Notable Player Props

  • Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) Points O/U 11.5 (-118 / -108): over in 10 of his last 10 games last season
  • Bobby Portis (MIA) Points O/U 10.5 (-120 / -107): over in 10 of his last 10 games last season
  • Brandon Miller (CHA) Points + Rebounds + Assists O/U 34.5 (-122 / -108): under in 10 of his last 10 games last season
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL) Three Pointers Made O/U 2.5 (-159 / +120): over in 9 of his last 10 games last season
  • Jeremiah Fears (NOP) Assists O/U 2.5 (-152 / +115): over in 9 of his last 10 games last season
  • Jarace Walker (IND) Rebounds O/U 3.5 (-146 / +111): over in 9 of his last 10 games last season
  • Franz Wagner (ORL) Points O/U 21.5 (-111 / -115): under in 9 of his last 10 games last season
  • Luka Doncic (LAL) Points O/U 31.5 (-114 / -112): over in 8 of his last 10 games last season
  • Josh Giddey (CHI) Assists O/U 9.5 (+109 / -144): over in 8 of his last 10 games last season
  • Jrue Holiday (POR) Points + Rebounds + Assists O/U 20.5 (-112 / -117): over in 8 of his last 10 games last season

For more parlay ideas, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook parlays page!

SGPx

Kings of the Court

Bet on each of these stars to fill the stat sheet on Wednesday!

Odds: +2141

30+ Luka Doncic Pts + Reb + Ast Luka Doncic Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Giannis Antetokounmpo Pts + Reb + Ast Giannis Antetokounmpo Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Stephen Curry Pts + Reb + Ast Stephen Curry Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Anthony Edwards Pts + Reb + Ast Anthony Edwards Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Kevin Durant Pts + Reb + Ast Kevin Durant Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Kawhi Leonard Pts + Reb + Ast Kawhi Leonard Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Tyrese Haliburton Pts + Reb + Ast Tyrese Haliburton Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Anthony Davis Pts + Reb + Ast Anthony Davis Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Jalen Johnson Pts + Reb + Ast Jalen Johnson Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Paolo Banchero Pts + Reb + Ast Paolo Banchero Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Cooper Flagg Pts + Reb + Ast Cooper Flagg Points + Rebounds + Assists
30+ Devin Booker Pts + Reb + Ast Devin Booker Points + Rebounds + Assists
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 5216
SGPx

Kenny Smith's NBA SGPx

Kenny "The Jet" is eyeing these picks for the NBA!

Odds: +592

MIA Heat to Win (vs MIN) Moneyline (Home)
30+ Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
LA Lakers to Win (vs GS) Moneyline (Home)
30+ Luka Doncic Points Luka Doncic Points
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 553
SGPx

Year Two Takeover

Take these young stars to start off hot in their year 2 campaign!

Odds: +1720

20+ Cooper Flagg Points Cooper Flagg Points
15+ Ace Bailey Points Ace Bailey Points
10+ Derik Queen Points Derik Queen Points
10+ Jeremiah Fears Points Jeremiah Fears Points
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 181
Parlay

Seven Up!

These stars averaged 6+ APG last season | Back them to dish out 7+ assists!

Odds: +3039

7+ Luka Doncic Assists Luka Doncic Assists
7+ Darius Garland Assists Darius Garland Assists
7+ Alperen Sengun Assists Alperen Sengun Assists
7+ Deni Avdija Assists Deni Avdija Assists
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 245
+ Add to Bet Slip
Quick SGP

Bucket Getters

Count on Garland, Lavine, Hachimura & Sabonis to each score 20+ Pts in their first game of the season!

Odds: +1400

20+ Darius Garland Points Darius Garland Points
20+ Zach LaVine Points Zach LaVine Points
20+ Rui Hachimura Points Rui Hachimura Points
20+ Domantas Sabonis Points Domantas Sabonis Points
Ends in: --:--
+ Add to Bet Slip

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