Looking for #23 Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Point Spread, Total and Moneyline betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before kickoff on Saturday.
Boise State vs. Fresno State Best Picks Today
- Fresno State Moneyline (+205): The largest gap in this game. Fresno State draws only 5% of Moneyline tickets but 66% of the Moneyline handle, so larger bettors are taking the home underdog at a plus price.
- Over 48.5 (-110): The Over holds 82% of Total tickets and 99% of the Total handle. Boise State averages 34.4 points per game and converts 52.9% of its third downs.
- Dylan Riley Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-425): Riley is the heavy touchdown favorite in this game, playing for a Boise State offense that runs for 226.6 yards per game.
Game Info
| Kickoff | Saturday, October 10 at 10:30 PM ET |
| Venue | Valley Children’s Stadium, Fresno, CA |
| TV | The CW |
Boise State vs. Fresno State Odds
| Market | Bulldogs (Home) | Broncos (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | +6.5 (-102) | -6.5 (-118) |
| Total | Over 48.5 (-110) | Under 48.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +205 | -250 |
DraftKings Betting Trends
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Boise State -6.5 | 87% | 93% |
| Point Spread | Fresno State +6.5 | 13% | 7% |
| Total | Over 48.5 | 82% | 99% |
| Total | Under 48.5 | 18% | 1% |
| Moneyline | Boise State | 95% | 34% |
| Moneyline | Fresno State | 5% | 66% |
The Point Spread is one-sided, with Boise State holding 87% of tickets and 93% of the handle. The Moneyline tells a different story: Fresno State’s 5% of tickets account for 66% of the money, a sharp lean toward the home underdog winning outright.
QB Matchup
| Stat | Maddux Madsen (BSU) | Jayden Mandal (FRES) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Comp% | 65.9% | 66.4% |
| Pass YPG | 211.6 | 206.8 |
| TD/INT | 11/0 | 6/1 |
| QBR | 160.7 | 142.8 |
Team Comparison
| Stat | FRES | BSU |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.8 | 34.4 |
| Points Allowed/Game | 16.4 | 20.6 |
| Yards/Game | 367.2 | 438.2 |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 358.8 | 372.6 |
| 3rd Down % | 35.4% | 52.9% |
| Turnovers | 3 | 3 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Boise State runs the ball: The Broncos run for 226.6 yards per game, compared with Fresno State’s 153.8, and convert 52.9% of third downs. That is the clearest path to Boise State covering 6.5 points on the road.
- Fresno State’s defense limits points: The Bulldogs allow 16.4 points per game, fewer than Boise State’s 20.6, and have seven interceptions. That is part of the case for the sharp money on the home underdog.
- Neither offense turns it over: Both teams have three turnovers in five games, and Maddux Madsen has 11 touchdown passes and no interceptions. With few giveaways on either side, field position and red zone execution should decide this game.
DraftKings Player Props
- Dylan Riley (BSU) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-425): the clear touchdown favorite in a Boise State offense running for 226.6 yards per game
- Bryson Donelson (FRES) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-120): the shortest touchdown price on the Fresno State side
- Sire Gaines (BSU) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+140): a plus-money option in the same Boise State backfield
- Julius Gillick (FRES) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150): plus-money Fresno State option in a game with a 48.5 Total
- Jayden Mandal (FRES) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+165): the Fresno State quarterback is priced to score a touchdown himself
- Maddux Madsen (BSU) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+195): the Boise State quarterback at the longest price of the group
Featured Parlays
FAQs
What are the Boise State vs. Fresno State odds this week?
Boise State, ranked No. 23, is a 6.5-point road favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the Point Spread set at Boise State -6.5 (-118). The Total is set at 48.5, and Boise State is -250 on the Moneyline while Fresno State is +205.
What are CFB betting trends?
Betting trends show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with a low bet percentage but a high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting trends identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.