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Prediction, pick for Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 322

Prediction, pick for Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 322

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By: Ryan Wohl

10-year UFC veteran Marvin Vettori will take on Ismail Naurdiev in a three-round Middleweight bout on tonight’s UFC 322 Early Prelims. Vettori is looking to snap a four-fight losing streak while Naurdiev is coming off a first-round knockout over Ryan Loder. The UFC 322 Early Prelims start at 4:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

Check out my best bet for Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev at tonight’s UFC 332 event below.

Ismail Naurdiev Moneyline (-148)

The former title challenger is in the midst of a four-fight losing streak and has gone nearly 43 months without a win. From July 2019 to April 2021, Vettori won five consecutive fights, but after that, he went 2-6 in his previous eight contests. In 2025, Vettori went 0-3 and now returns 10 months later to face Naurdiev. Naurdiev is in his second stint in the UFC, after first competing in the promotion from February 2018 to February 2020. After going 2-2 in his first run in the promotion, Naurdiev has gone 2-1 this time around. 

In this fight, DraftKings Sportsbook has Naurdiev as the favorite at -142, with Vettori as the +120 underdog. The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds, with the over at -245 and the under at +185. Both fighters in this matchup have a 74″ standing reach, with Vettori being slightly taller (6’0″ vs. 5’10”). 

Vettori averages 1.08 more significant strikes, but Naurdiev is more accurate (52% vs. 45%) and absorbs fewer strikes per minute (1.75 vs. 4.55). On the ground, Naurdiev lands slightly more takedowns per 15 minutes (1.48 vs. 1.41) while Vettori has the edge in takedown accuracy (43% vs. 40%). Although both fighters are capable on the ground, I expect most of this contest to take place on the feet. Vettori was once at the top of the 185-pound division, but those days are a distant memory now, and in recent years he has been too passive to keep up with his opponents. Until Vettori proves he can put together a valiant effort for 15 minutes, it will be hard to back him. 

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
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