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Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs (Saturday – 12pm ET)
I had my doubts about Alabama this season, but the Crimson Tide have been a wagon, particularly on offense. Through four games, they’ve ripped off 48 points against ECU, 45 at Kentucky, 50 versus FSU and eventually 49 hosting South Carolina this past Saturday. That’s an average of 48 points per game, but maybe more importantly, so far just a floor of 45 points.
Alabama’s a tough offense to stop. Meanwhile, ‘Bama’s defense has been decent, but has been helping the cause when it comes to betting overs. The Tide also putting up so many points leaves wiggle room to play cushy defense late. Alabama is surrendering just over 20 points per on defense.
Enter Mississippi State, an unexpected and exciting 4-0. Why are the Bulldogs so exciting? Super Kamario! Kamario Taylor steps into this offense, and you can tell just by watching him throw the football that he’s a special prospect. His individual greatness has elevated the entire offense, with Taylor sitting third on the board in current Heisman odds.
Mississippi State is averaging 43 points per game, including nearly 37 points per game against Power Four competition. Yet, the Bulldogs are giving up an average of 29 points on defense, through two SEC games.
Both of these teams play with great pace, rank highly in yards per play, and are excellent in creating explosive plays. Miss State and ‘Bama combined to average over 1,000 yards of offense per game so far.
‘Bama is 4-0 to the over this season, with the overs cashing by an average of 17.3 points. Mississippi State has shown every inclination that it would be a willing participant in a shootout. This one has fireworks written all over it.
CFB Pick: OVER 59.5 (-112) – 2-units
