Looking for Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Point Spread, Total and Moneyline betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before kickoff on Saturday.
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Best Picks Today
- Mississippi State Moneyline (+180): Only 15% of Moneyline tickets are on the home underdog, but it holds 70% of the Moneyline handle. Mississippi State is 4-0 and averaging 533.2 yards per game, the highest figure in this matchup.
- Mississippi State +6 (-115): The Point Spread tells the same story in reverse of the ticket count. Alabama has 54% of spread bets but only 27% of spread handle, while Mississippi State draws 73% of the money.
- Kamario Taylor Passing + Rushing Yards 290+ (-134): Taylor has 14 touchdowns against two interceptions and a 187.8 rating, and Alabama allows 315.2 yards per game.
Game Info
| Kickoff | Saturday, October 3 at 12:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field, Starkville, MS |
| TV | ABC |
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds
| Market | Bulldogs (Home) | Crimson Tide (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | +6 (-115) | -6 (-105) |
| Total | Under 60.5 (-110) | Over 60.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +180 | -218 |
DraftKings Betting Trends
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Alabama -6 | 54% | 27% |
| Point Spread | Mississippi State +6 | 46% | 73% |
| Total | Over 60.5 | 83% | 96% |
| Total | Under 60.5 | 17% | 4% |
| Moneyline | Alabama | 85% | 30% |
| Moneyline | Mississippi State | 15% | 70% |
The biggest gap is on the Mississippi State Moneyline, where 15% of tickets account for 70% of the money. Combine that with 73% of spread handle on the home side and the larger wagers are clearly siding with the Bulldogs while casual tickets stack on Alabama.
QB Matchup
| Stat | Kamario Taylor (MSST) | Keelon Russell (BAMA) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| Comp% | 69.2% | 70.9% |
| Pass YPG | 298.0 | 282.3 |
| TD/INT | 14/2 | 8/2 |
| QBR | 187.8 | 177.5 |
Team Comparison
| Stat | MSST | BAMA |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 43.0 | 48.0 |
| Points Allowed/Game | 21.0 | 20.2 |
| Yards/Game | 533.2 | 471.5 |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 353.8 | 315.2 |
| 3rd Down % | 50.0% | 45.8% |
| Turnovers | 3 | 4 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Two undefeated offenses, 91 combined points per game: Mississippi State averages 43.0 and Alabama 48.0, which is why the Total sits at 60.5 and why 96% of Total handle is on the Over.
- Alabama’s takeaway edge: The Crimson Tide have six interceptions and hold opponents to 23.1% on third down, the best third-down defense in this matchup by a wide margin. Mississippi State converts 50.0% of its own third downs, so that is the game’s central battle.
- Mississippi State moves the ball better than it stops it: The Bulldogs lead with 533.2 yards per game but allow 353.8, nearly 39 more than Alabama concedes. In a shootout, the team forced to punt first loses the possession math.
DraftKings Player Props
- Kamario Taylor (MSST) Passing Yards 250+ (-134): he averages 298.0 per game and has thrown 14 touchdowns
- Keelon Russell (BAMA) Passing Yards 260+ (-118): sits just below his 282.3 average against a defense allowing 353.8 total yards
- Fluff Bothwell (MSST) Rushing Yards 79+ (-120): Mississippi State runs for 217.8 yards per game
- Anthony Evans (MSST) Receiving Yards 70+ (-141): the top target in an attack throwing for 315.5 yards per game
- Ryan Coleman-Williams (BAMA) Receiving Yards 70+ (-128): Alabama throws for 283.2 yards and scores in the red zone on 100% of trips
- Lotzeir Brooks (BAMA) Receiving Yards 59+ (-116): second-option pricing in a 48.0-point offense
Featured Parlays
FAQs
What are the Alabama vs. Mississippi State odds this week?
Mississippi State, ranked No. 16, is a 6-point home underdog at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the Point Spread set at Mississippi State +6 (-115). The Total is set at 60.5, and Mississippi State is +180 on the Moneyline while Alabama, ranked No. 7, is -218.
What are CFB betting trends?
Betting trends show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting trends identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.