What has been the most fun division in football through three weeks? Shockingly, it’s been the AFC North.
Coming into tonight’s action, all four teams are 2-1, and that includes the surprising Browns, who most thought would be fighting for the first-overall pick in 2026. Instead, they’ll be trying to score the first touchdown on Thursday Night Football, to get out to an early lead in a pivotal matchup against the Steelers.
Let’s break down the first touchdown scorer market with picks and odds on the DraftKings Sportsbook.
Steelers vs. Browns First Touchdown Scorer Odds
Steelers vs. Browns First Touchdown Scorer Picks
Jaylen Warren First TD Scorer (+425)
Not one of those picks that’s going to “wow” anyone, but it’s hard to argue with the logic. Jaylen Warren was an absolute bell cow back with Rico Dowdle (toe) sidelined against the Bengals, and the veteran isn’t ready to return this evening on the short week. Warren got a carry on 17 of the Steelers’ 19 designed runs for its running backs, finishing the narrow victory with 176 scrimmage yards on 20 touches. He was also on the field for a whopping 90.3% of Pittsburgh’s offensive snaps. Projecting forward, it’s difficult to see a scenario where Warren isn’t in possession of a goal line monopoly on Thursday Night Football — and that includes in the passing attack. After three contests, Warren’s three red zone targets lead all Steelers skill-position players. The man is clearly the focal point of the team’s game plan.
Harold Fannin Jr. First TD Scorer (+1100)
The Browns are one of three teams that have yet to record a rushing touchdown this season, so why assume they’ll break that trend tonight? Speaking of trends, Harold Fannin Jr. is trending upward after a massive performance in Week 3, when the sophomore tight end translated a pair of red zone targets into a pair of touchdowns against the Panthers. For the season as a whole, Fannin leads Cleveland in receptions (14) and sits second in targets (18). He’s quickly building a rapport with Deshaun Watson (+1600), and that connection should only get stronger with more and more positive results when the veteran pivot looks Fannin’s way. Hopefully, it gets stronger on the Browns’ first drive of Week 4.
