The Broncos are visiting the Chiefs in our first edition of Monday Night Football for the 2026-27 season. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Kansas City is favored by 2.5 points and this game carries a total of 43.5 points.
Below, I break down my favorite RJ Harvey prop bet for Monday’s matchup, focusing on his receiving yards line against the Chiefs.
RJ Harvey Receiving Yards Prop Bet vs. Chiefs
RJ Harvey O 16.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
While J.K. Dobbins is healthy again and should be the Broncos’ lead rusher, Harvey should be the primary pass-catching back for this offense.
Harvey was an efficient receiver out of the backfield in his rookie season, hauling in 82.4% of his targets. Among the backs who saw 20+ targets, Harvey ranked 10th in YAC (439) and 11th in YPPR (1.40).
Harvey and Dobbins played 10 games together last season, and Harvey held an edge in the passing game in these tilts, seeing 28 targets on 123 routes, whereas Dobbins saw 14 targets on 114 routes.
Harvey finished with at least 18 receiving yards in four of these games, including 51 yards vs. the Texans in Week 9. Harvey commanded a target on 23% of his routes while running a route on 33% of the team’s dropbacks in these games alongside Dobbins.
With Dobbins coming off a serious foot injury and Harvey entering his second season in the NFL, the latter should see a higher route around 50% on Monday night. The Chiefs were a subpar matchup for receiving backs last season, giving up the 19th-most receiving yards to the position (453), but Harvey should be busy with the Broncos being a 2.5-point road underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook and topping 16.5 receiving yards shouldn’t be difficult.
