Looking for today’s MLB weather forecast? Sunday’s fifteen-game slate features two games with meaningful weather concerns and generally favorable conditions across the rest of the schedule.
Today’s MLB Weather Forecast
- Highest Weather Risk: Pirates at Cubs (Wrigley Field) — scattered showers up to a 41% chance with a north wind at 10-15 mph.
- Expected Postponements: None. All fifteen games are expected to be completed.
- Most Significant Wind: Wrigley Field, north at 10-15 mph blowing in off Lake Michigan, suppressing fly-ball carry throughout the game.
- Primary Weather Story: Wrigley Field’s inward wind and scattered showers are the day’s main concern, along with fog and moisture at Fenway Park.
At-a-Glance Weather Table
| Matchup | First Pitch (ET) | Weather Risk | Rain % | Wind | Temp | Roof |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates at Cubs | 2:20 p.m. | MODERATE | 20–41% | N 10–15 mph | 68–71°F | Open |
| Royals at Red Sox | 3:05 p.m. | MODERATE | 42–71% | E 7 mph | 69–70°F | Open |
MLB Games to Monitor for Weather
Pirates at Cubs (2:20 p.m.)
Weather Risk: MODERATE
Scattered rain showers are expected across Chicago throughout the afternoon, with precipitation chances climbing from 20% at first pitch to 41% by the middle innings before tapering. A north wind at 10-15 mph blows directly in off Lake Michigan at Wrigley Field, significantly suppressing fly-ball carry and home-run potential.
Temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s combined with steady inward wind create one of the more pitcher-friendly environments on the slate. Showers appear scattered rather than persistent, making a brief interruption possible but a prolonged stoppage unlikely. The game should start on time.
Weather Timeline
- 1:00 p.m. — Isolated showers possible (20%); 71°F with north wind at 15 mph.
- 2:00 p.m. — First pitch approaches with isolated showers continuing; wind sustained at 15 mph from the north.
- 3:00 p.m. — Scattered showers develop; precipitation probability peaks near 37%.
- 4:00 p.m. — Scattered showers continue at 41%; wind easing to 10 mph.
- 5:00 p.m. — Showers taper to isolated (39%); 68°F as winds gradually ease.
Royals at Red Sox (3:05 p.m.)
Weather Risk: MODERATE
Patchy fog and associated moisture create elevated precipitation chances near first pitch at Fenway Park, with a 71% probability at 3:00 p.m. that tapers to 42% by 4:00 p.m. before clearing substantially. The early-game moisture appears tied to a coastal fog pattern producing drizzle and light rain rather than heavy precipitation.
Easterly wind at 7 mph blows in from left field, modestly suppressing fly-ball carry toward the Green Monster. Temperatures hover around 69-70°F. Conditions should improve steadily through the middle innings, with precipitation chances falling below 15% by 5:00 p.m.
Weather Timeline
- 2:00 p.m. — Patchy fog developing; precipitation probability at 71%.
- 3:00 p.m. — First pitch window; fog persists with drizzle or light rain possible.
- 4:00 p.m. — Chance of rain showers at 42%; fog beginning to dissipate.
- 5:00 p.m. — Precipitation drops to 13%; clearing trend developing.
- 6:00 p.m. — Mostly dry with patchy fog possible; precipitation under 10%.
Games Expected to Play in Favorable Weather
- Rockies at Tigers (12:10 p.m.) — Partly sunny, 79°F warming to 81°F, WNW wind at 7-14 mph at Comerica Park. Dry throughout the game window.
- Angels at Nationals (1:35 p.m.) — Mostly sunny, 84-87°F, light NW wind at 5-6 mph at Nationals Park. Warm afternoon with no weather concerns.
- Phillies at Braves (1:35 p.m.) — Sunny and hot, 85-90°F, NW wind at 5-10 mph at Truist Park. Zero precipitation chance.
- Mets at Yankees (1:35 p.m.) — Brief shower chance (38%) near first pitch, clearing quickly to mostly sunny; 78-80°F with light NW wind at Yankee Stadium.
- Orioles at Blue Jays (1:37 p.m.) — Retractable roof at Rogers Centre. No weather concerns.
- Astros at Rays (1:40 p.m.) — Fixed dome at Tropicana Field. No weather concerns.
- Dodgers at Marlins (1:40 p.m.) — Retractable roof at loanDepot park. No weather concerns.
- Guardians at Twins (2:10 p.m.) — Sunny and clear, 65-69°F, WNW wind at 10 mph at Target Field. Cool temperatures favor pitching in a dry environment.
- Reds at Brewers (2:10 p.m.) — Retractable roof at American Family Field. No weather concerns.
- White Sox at Cardinals (2:15 p.m.) — Mostly sunny, 84-86°F, light north wind at 5-7 mph at Busch Stadium. Low single-digit rain chances remain minimal.
- Mariners at Athletics (4:05 p.m.) — Sunny, 75-82°F, light NW wind at Sutter Health Park. Warm Sacramento afternoon with no concerns.
- Rangers at Diamondbacks (4:10 p.m.) — Retractable roof at Chase Field. No weather concerns.
- Padres at Giants (7:20 p.m.) — Clear skies, 63-66°F, westerly wind at 12-15 mph at Oracle Park. Classic marine-influenced conditions.
DFS and Betting Weather Notes
Pirates at Cubs
North wind at 10-15 mph blowing in at Wrigley Field creates one of the most offensive-suppressive environments on the Sunday slate. Home-run carry will be reduced throughout the game, and temperatures in the upper 60s reinforce the pitcher-friendly conditions. Combined with scattered shower chances that could interrupt game flow in the middle innings, this is a setting where pitching investments carry enhanced value while power-bat stacks face a lower ceiling.
Padres at Giants
Oracle Park’s standard marine-layer conditions are in full effect Sunday evening. Westerly wind at 12-15 mph off the bay, temperatures in the mid-60s, and heavy air create the most pitcher-friendly environment on the board. Ball carry will be suppressed all game, particularly to right-center field. Pitching-heavy DFS builds and total unders could find value in the conditions.
Guardians at Twins
Target Field’s 65-69°F afternoon is the coolest outdoor environment on the Sunday schedule. Cool air favors pitching, and while the 10 mph WNW wind is moderate, combined with the below-average September temperatures it creates a slightly suppressed offensive setting. Starting pitchers in this matchup carry a modest environmental edge.
FAQs
Can MLB games be played in fog?
Yes, MLB games can and do continue in foggy conditions, though extreme cases can affect play. Fog primarily impacts visibility for fielders tracking fly balls and pop-ups, which can lead to unusual plays. Games are rarely suspended solely due to fog unless visibility becomes a genuine safety concern. Light fog and drizzle, like what Fenway Park may experience today, typically do not cause interruptions.
What wind direction matters most at Wrigley Field?
Wind direction is the single most important weather variable at Wrigley Field. Wind blowing out toward the lake (from the south) dramatically increases home-run potential and scoring, often pushing game totals higher by a full run or more. Wind blowing in from the north, as expected today, has the opposite effect and significantly suppresses fly-ball carry. Crosswinds from east or west have more inconsistent effects.
How does temperature affect baseball offense?
Warmer air is less dense than cooler air, allowing baseballs to travel farther on contact. Research suggests the difference between a 60°F game and a 90°F game can account for several feet of fly-ball distance. The effect is most noticeable at higher elevations like Coors Field, where dry warm air provides even less resistance. In practical terms, warm-weather games tend to produce slightly more runs on average than cold-weather contests.
More MLB Betting Content
Check out more MLB content and player props throughout the season on DraftKings Network!
