Looking for today’s Toronto Blue Jays vs. St. Louis Cardinals betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Odds
| Market | Blue Jays (Home) | Cardinals (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -123 | +102 |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-197) | -1.5 (+161) |
| Total | Over 9 (-108) | Under 9 (-112) |
Toronto is the -123 home favorite, implying roughly 55% win probability. St. Louis sits at +102 as the underdog. The Run Line prices the Cardinals at -1.5 (+161), while the total is set at O/U 9 with the Under juiced slightly to -112.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Blue Jays | 60% | 29% |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | 40% | 71% |
| Run Line | Cardinals -1.5 | 22% | 83% |
| Run Line | Blue Jays +1.5 | 78% | 17% |
| Total | Over 9 | 49% | 49% |
| Total | Under 9 | 51% | 51% |
Public Betting Trends
Sharp money is backing St. Louis heavily in this spot. While 60% of Moneyline tickets land on Toronto, 71% of handle flows to the Cardinals, a 31-point divergence suggesting professional bettors see value on the underdog. The Run Line picture is even more dramatic: just 22% of tickets but a staggering 83% of handle sit on STL -1.5, a 61-point gap indicating large wagers expect the Cardinals to win comfortably. The total is nearly split 50/50 on both tickets and dollars.
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Stats
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Stat | Max Scherzer (TOR) | Matthew Liberatore (STL) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 5-8 |
| ERA | 9.49 | 5.26 |
| WHIP | 1.824 | 1.558 |
| FIP | 8.21 | 4.84 |
| xFIP | 6.18 | 4.26 |
| WAR | -0.64 | 0.45 |
| K% | 15.4% | 21.9% |
| BB% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| HR/9 | 3.28 | 1.67 |
| Starts | 7 | 21 |
| QS | 2 | 4 |
Team Pitching Stats
| Stat | Blue Jays | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 4.09 | 4.17 |
| WHIP | 1.311 | 1.350 |
| K/9 | 9.02 | 7.68 |
| K/BB | 2.50 | 2.25 |
| OBA | .241 | .255 |
Team Batting Stats
| Stat | Blue Jays | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .244 | .239 |
| OBP | .305 | .314 |
| SLG | .379 | .377 |
| OPS | .684 | .691 |
| ISO | .135 | .138 |
| BABIP | .281 | .278 |
| K% | 19.3% | 20.4% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 8.2% |
| Runs | 438 | 478 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Scherzer’s struggles: Max Scherzer carries a 9.49 ERA, 1.824 WHIP, and 3.28 HR/9 across just 7 starts this season, posting negative WAR (-0.64). His 15.4% strikeout rate is well below league average for a starter.
- Cardinals road split leaders: Alec Burleson leads STL on the road with a .308 AVG and .879 OPS (9 HR in 201 AB), while Jordan Walker adds a .279 AVG with 13 home runs and an .874 OPS away from home.
- Blue Jays home split leaders: Ernie Clement paces Toronto at home with a .303 AVG and .783 OPS (218 AB), while Jesus Sanchez hits .300 with a .920 OPS and 7 HR at Rogers Centre.
- Vlad Guerrero Jr. day-to-day: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is listed day-to-day with a hamstring issue, which could limit his effectiveness or remove him from the lineup entirely. His Over 1.5 total bases prop is priced at +111.
- Liberatore K prop: Matthew Liberatore is posted at Over 3.5 strikeouts (-169), reflecting his 21.9% K rate against a Toronto lineup that strikes out at only 19.3%.
- Momentum and streaks: Toronto enters on a 3-game winning streak (6-4 in last 10), while St. Louis has lost 3 straight and gone 2-8 in its last 10 games.
DraftKings Player Props
- Max Scherzer Strikeouts Thrown: Over 3.5 (-146) / Under 3.5 (+114)
- Matthew Liberatore Strikeouts Thrown: Over 3.5 (-169) / Under 3.5 (+132)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+111) / Under 1.5 (-147)
- Kazuma Okamoto Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+122) / Under 1.5 (-162)
- George Springer Hits: Over 0.5 (-194) / Under 0.5 (+145)
- Alejandro Kirk Hits: Over 0.5 (-219) / Under 0.5 (+163)
- Ernie Clement Hits: Over 0.5 (-241) / Under 0.5 (+178)
- Ernie Clement Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+133) / Under 1.5 (-177)
DraftKings Featured Parlays
Birds Up North (+1000)
Back the Blue Jays to get their 4th straight win on Sunday.
- TOR Blue Jays to Win (vs STL)
- Max Scherzer 5+ Strikeouts
- Kazuma Okamoto 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2+ Total Bases
K Crew (+1073)
Back these starters to pile up strikeouts and clear their K totals.
- Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts
- Taj Bradley 8+ Strikeouts
- Matthew Liberatore 5+ Strikeouts
Built to Last (+778)
Back these starters to work deep into the game and clear their outs totals.
- Taj Bradley: Over 18.5 Outs
- Colin Rea: Over 16.5 Outs
- Max Scherzer: Over 14.5 Outs
Betting Splits Summary
| Metric | Blue Jays / Over | Cardinals / Under |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline Bets | 60% | 40% |
| Moneyline Handle | 29% | 71% |
| Run Line Bets | 78% | 22% |
| Run Line Handle | 17% | 83% |
| Total Bets | 49% | 51% |
| Total Handle | 49% | 51% |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
Betting splits show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.
Should you follow betting splits?
Splits are one tool among many. They are most useful when a clear divergence exists between public tickets and money handle, suggesting professional disagreement with the recreational consensus. They work best combined with line movement analysis and matchup context.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update approximately every two minutes, providing near real-time insight into how the market is moving as game time approaches.
What is the best bet for Blue Jays vs. Cardinals?
Sharp money overwhelmingly backs the Cardinals in this spot. With 71% of Moneyline handle and 83% of Run Line handle flowing to St. Louis on just 40% and 22% of tickets respectively, professional bettors are fading Max Scherzer (9.49 ERA, -0.64 WAR). The Cardinals Moneyline at +102 offers plus-money value supported by heavy sharp action.
