Looking for today’s Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Orioles vs. Phillies Odds
| Market | Orioles (Home) | Phillies (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +114 | −137 |
| Run Line | +1.5 (−149) | -1.5 (+124) |
| Total | Over 7.5 (−117) | Under 7.5 (−103) |
Philadelphia is a moderate road favorite at −137 on the Moneyline, implying roughly 58% win probability. The Run Line prices the Phillies at -1.5 (+124), while the total is set at O/U 7.5 with the Over slightly juiced at −117.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Orioles | 18% | 11% |
| Moneyline | Phillies | 82% | 89% |
| Run Line | Phillies -1.5 | 62% | 96% |
| Run Line | Orioles +1.5 | 38% | 4% |
| Total | Over 7.5 | 50% | 34% |
| Total | Under 7.5 | 50% | 66% |
Public Betting Trends
The Phillies are dominating both tickets and money across the Moneyline (82% bets, 89% handle) and the Run Line, where 96% of the handle sits on Philadelphia -1.5 despite 62% of tickets. That 34-point handle-to-bet gap on the Run Line is one of the largest sharp signals on the Sunday slate. On the total, the Under draws 66% of handle on an even 50/50 ticket split, indicating sharp money expects a lower-scoring game behind Zack Wheeler.
Orioles vs. Phillies Stats
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Stat | Kyle Bradish (BAL) | Zack Wheeler (PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-9 | 10-2 |
| ERA | 3.74 | 2.53 |
| WHIP | 1.364 | 0.922 |
| FIP | 3.86 | 3.08 |
| xFIP | 3.97 | 2.74 |
| WAR | 1.80 | 2.87 |
| K% | 22.8% | 31.1% |
| BB% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| HR/9 | 0.92 | 1.14 |
Team Pitching Stats
| Stat | Orioles | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 4.21 | 4.25 |
| WHIP | 1.343 | 1.311 |
| K/9 | 7.98 | 9.94 |
| K/BB | 2.36 | 3.29 |
| OBA | .252 | .252 |
Team Batting Stats
| Stat | Orioles | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .236 | .236 |
| OBP | .320 | .303 |
| SLG | .392 | .399 |
| OPS | .712 | .702 |
| ISO | .156 | .163 |
| K% | 24.2% | 23.7% |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Wheeler dominates on the mound: Zack Wheeler carries a 2.53 ERA, 0.922 WHIP, and elite 31.1% strikeout rate across 17 starts this season. His 2.74 xFIP is even better than his surface ERA, and his 5.8% walk rate means Baltimore will see few free baserunners. Kyle Bradish (3.74 ERA, 1.364 WHIP, 10.2% BB%) offers a significant step down.
- Sharp money hammers Phillies -1.5: The 96% handle on Philadelphia’s Run Line versus 62% of tickets represents a 34-point sharp indicator, one of the most lopsided Run Line splits on Sunday’s board. Professional bettors are paying plus-money (+124) for a Wheeler-led blowout.
- Baltimore’s injury crisis: The Orioles are missing catcher Adley Rutschman (wrist, D10), Samuel Basallo (shoulder, D10), and key rotation arms Chris Bassitt (back), Zach Eflin (elbow), and closer Ryan Helsley (elbow). Third baseman Jordan Westburg (UCL) and first baseman Ryan Mountcastle (foot) remain on the D60 as well.
- Phillies road strength: Philadelphia holds a 30-26 road record this season compared to Baltimore’s 30-28 home mark. Despite a rough 2-8 last-10 stretch, the Phillies’ pitching staff boasts a superior K/BB ratio (3.29 vs. 2.36) that aligns with the Under lean.
- Home split leaders: Pete Alonso leads Baltimore’s home bats with a .249 AVG, .828 OPS, and 14 HR across 213 at-bats at Camden Yards. On the visitors’ side, Bryce Harper (.250 AVG, .830 OPS, 11 HR in 200 road AB) and Kyle Schwarber (.234 AVG, .807 OPS, 13 road HR) power the Phillies lineup away from home.
- Under backed by sharp handle: The total sits at O/U 7.5 with 66% of handle on the Under despite a 50/50 ticket split. Wheeler’s elite walk rate and Baltimore’s 24.2% team strikeout rate suggest limited scoring from the home side, supporting the sharp Under position.
DraftKings Player Props
- Kyle Bradish Strikeouts Thrown O/U 5.5 (Over −110 / Under −116)
- Zack Wheeler Strikeouts Thrown: 8+ (−124) / 9+ (+150)
- Bryce Harper Total Bases O/U 1.5 (Over +122 / Under −162)
- Trea Turner Total Bases O/U 1.5 (Over +113 / Under −150)
- Pete Alonso Hits O/U 0.5 (Over −179 / Under +134)
- Dylan Beavers Hits O/U 0.5 (Over −129 / Under −103)
- Bryce Harper Runs O/U 0.5 (Over +107 / Under −147)
- Kyle Schwarber Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 (Over −116 / Under −114)
DraftKings Featured Parlays
Ring the Bell (+1200)
Take the Phillies to get their 2nd straight win vs the Orioles on Sunday.
- PHI Phillies to Win (@ BAL)
- Bryce Harper 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Trea Turner 2+ Total Bases
- Kyle Schwarber 1+ Home Run
Star Sluggers (+1320)
HRs this season: Schwarber 33 (2nd in MLB), Caminero 30 (T-5th in MLB).
- Kyle Schwarber 1+ Home Run
- Junior Caminero 1+ Home Run
K Crew (+1073)
Back these starters to pile up strikeouts and clear their K totals.
- Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts
- Taj Bradley 8+ Strikeouts
- Matthew Liberatore 5+ Strikeouts
Slug Fest (+1267)
Back these games to light up the scoreboard and go over the total.
- PHI @ BAL: Over 7.5 Runs
- STL @ TOR: Over 9 Runs
- ARI @ CLE: Over 8 Runs
- CWS @ TB: Over 7.5 Runs
Betting Splits Summary
| Metric | Orioles / Over | Phillies / Under |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline Handle | 11% | 89% |
| Moneyline Bets | 18% | 82% |
| Run Line Handle | 4% | 96% |
| Run Line Bets | 38% | 62% |
| Total Handle | 34% | 66% |
| Total Bets | 50% | 50% |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
MLB betting splits show the percentage of bets and handle (total money wagered) on each side of a market. They help bettors identify where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual wagers placed on a side, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests larger, sharper wagers.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
When the handle percentage on a side is significantly higher than the bet percentage, it indicates that fewer bettors are placing larger wagers. This gap typically signals professional or “sharp” money, as experienced bettors tend to wager more per ticket than the general public.
Should you follow betting splits?
Betting splits are one useful tool among many. They are most informative when combined with line movement, matchup analysis, and injury reports. A large handle-to-bet discrepancy can highlight value, but it should not be the sole factor in any wagering decision.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update in near real-time throughout the day as wagers are placed. Percentages can shift significantly in the hours leading up to first pitch as sharps and the public continue to place bets.
What is the best bet for Orioles vs. Phillies?
The sharp money overwhelmingly favors Philadelphia on the Run Line at -1.5 (+124), with a staggering 96% of handle on just 62% of tickets. Zack Wheeler (2.53 ERA, 0.922 WHIP, 31.1% K%) holds a commanding edge over Kyle Bradish (3.74 ERA, 1.364 WHIP, 10.2% BB%), and Baltimore’s depleted lineup, missing Adley Rutschman and several rotation arms, makes a comfortable Phillies win the most supported outcome among sharps. The Under 7.5 also draws sharp lean at 66% handle, backed by Wheeler’s elite command.
