Looking for today’s Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Dodgers vs. Red Sox Odds
| Market | Dodgers (Home) | Red Sox (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | −125 | +103 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+163) | +1.5 (−199) |
| Total | Over 8.5 (−120) | Under 8.5 (+100) |
Los Angeles is the home favorite at −125 on the Moneyline, implying roughly 56% win probability. The Run Line prices the Dodgers at -1.5 (+163), while the total is set at O/U 8.5 with the Over juiced at −120.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dodgers | 40% | 16% |
| Moneyline | Red Sox | 60% | 84% |
| Run Line | Dodgers -1.5 | 40% | 6% |
| Run Line | Red Sox +1.5 | 60% | 94% |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 50% | 76% |
| Total | Under 8.5 | 50% | 24% |
Public Betting Trends
Boston commands 84% of the Moneyline handle on 60% of tickets, a 24-point gap that signals sharp money is heavily backing the Red Sox as road underdogs. The Run Line tells the same story at an even more extreme rate: 94% of handle lands on Boston +1.5 despite only 60% of bets, the widest handle-to-bet discrepancy on this matchup. The Over 8.5 draws 76% of handle on an even 50/50 bet split, indicating larger wagers expect a higher-scoring contest than the public consensus suggests.
Dodgers vs. Red Sox Stats
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Stat | Edgardo Henriquez (LAD) | Ranger Suarez (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 4-3 |
| ERA | 2.79 | 3.02 |
| WHIP | 1.048 | 1.154 |
| FIP | 2.99 | 2.51 |
| xFIP | 3.92 | 3.19 |
| WAR | 0.77 | 3.23 |
| K% | 24.9% | 26.3% |
| BB% | 11.2% | 6.6% |
| HR/9 | 0.21 | 0.47 |
Team Pitching Stats
| Stat | Dodgers | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 3.58 | 3.54 |
| WHIP | 1.138 | 1.223 |
| K/9 | 9.13 | 8.67 |
| K/BB | 2.97 | 3.05 |
| OBA | .216 | .240 |
Team Batting Stats
| Stat | Dodgers | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .261 | .244 |
| OBP | .341 | .315 |
| SLG | .433 | .393 |
| OPS | .774 | .708 |
| ISO | .172 | .149 |
| K% | 20.6% | 22.1% |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Suarez FIP edge masks ERA gap: Ranger Suarez owns a 2.51 FIP and 3.19 xFIP against a 3.02 ERA, signaling elite run prevention below the surface. With a 3.23 WAR and 26.3% strikeout rate against just 6.6% walks, his command-over-power profile is built to neutralize a Dodgers lineup that relies on patience (.341 OBP). Edgardo Henriquez has a flashier 2.79 ERA but a 3.92 xFIP suggests his results may regress, and his 11.2% walk rate could fuel Boston’s offense.
- Ohtani dominates at home: Shohei Ohtani is slashing .293 with a .990 OPS and 14 home runs across 164 at-bats at Dodger Stadium. His Home Runs prop is set at 1+ (+237), and DraftKings prices his Total Bases at 2+ (−103), reflecting the book’s expectation of damage against a left-handed starter.
- Contreras powers Boston road attack: Willson Contreras leads the Red Sox away splits with 11 home runs, a .263 AVG, and .888 OPS across 171 road at-bats. Andruw Monasterio adds 6 HR and .814 OPS in 119 away at-bats, giving Boston legitimate power even at pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium.
- Dodger rotation depth depleted: Los Angeles is missing Tyler Glasnow (back, D60), Blake Snell (elbow, D60), Bobby Miller (shoulder, D60), and Gavin Stone (shoulder, D60), forcing the club to rely on Henriquez (0 career starts). Will Smith (neck, D60) also leaves a gap behind the plate, potentially limiting the battery chemistry advantage at home.
- Boston injury concerns at key positions: The Red Sox are without Roman Anthony (wrist, D60), Triston Casas (knee, D60), and Marcelo Mayer (forearm, D10) from the everyday lineup, plus ace Garrett Crochet (shoulder, D60) and Tanner Houck (elbow, D60) from the rotation. Curtis Mead (hand, D10) is the most recent addition to the IL.
- Handle-to-bet gap favors Boston across the board: The 68-point gap on the Moneyline (84% handle vs. 16% on LAD) and the 34-point gap on the Run Line (94% handle on BOS +1.5 vs. 60% of bets) represent two of the sharpest signals on the Friday slate. Professional money appears to trust Suarez’s peripherals over the home-field narrative.
DraftKings Player Props
- Ranger Suarez Strikeouts Thrown: 5+ (−172), 6+ (+123), 7+ (+264)
- Ranger Suarez Outs O/U 16.5 (Over −111 / Under −119)
- Ranger Suarez Earned Runs Allowed O/U 2.5 (Over −107 / Under −124)
- Ranger Suarez Hits Allowed O/U 5.5 (Over +105 / Under −139)
- Shohei Ohtani Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 (Over −141 / Under +106)
- Shohei Ohtani Total Bases: 2+ (−103), 3+ (+160), 4+ (+198)
- Shohei Ohtani Home Runs: 1+ (+237)
- Freddie Freeman Hits O/U 0.5 (Over −217 / Under +161)
- Willson Contreras Hits: 1+ (−201), 2+ (+283)
- Jarren Duran Hits: 1+ (−156), 2+ (+375)
DraftKings Featured Parlays
Seeing It Well (+1156)
Each of these batters recorded 1+ hit in their last game.
- Shohei Ohtani 1+ Hit
- Mike Trout 1+ Hit
- Fernando Tatis Jr. 1+ Hit
- William Contreras 1+ Hit
- Dillon Dingler 1+ Hit
- Jacob Wilson 1+ Hit
- Jung Hoo Lee 1+ Hit
- Ryan Jeffers 1+ Hit
Deliver the Goods (+1150)
RBIs this season: Alvarez 80 (T-2nd in MLB), Kurtz 69 (T-9th), Contreras 67.
- Yordan Alvarez 1+ RBI
- Nick Kurtz 1+ RBI
- Willson Contreras 1+ RBI
Betting Splits Summary
| Metric | Dodgers / Over | Red Sox / Under |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline Handle | 16% | 84% |
| Moneyline Bets | 40% | 60% |
| Run Line Handle | 6% | 94% |
| Run Line Bets | 40% | 60% |
| Total Handle | 76% | 24% |
| Total Bets | 50% | 50% |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
MLB betting splits show the percentage of bets and handle (total money wagered) on each side of a market. They help bettors identify where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual wagers placed on a side, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests larger, sharper wagers.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
When the handle percentage on a side is significantly higher than the bet percentage, it indicates that fewer bettors are placing larger wagers. This gap typically signals professional or “sharp” money, as experienced bettors tend to wager more per ticket than the general public.
Should you follow betting splits?
Betting splits are one useful tool among many. They are most informative when combined with line movement, matchup analysis, and injury reports. A large handle-to-bet discrepancy can highlight value, but it should not be the sole factor in any wagering decision.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update in near real-time throughout the day as wagers are placed. Percentages can shift significantly in the hours leading up to first pitch as sharps and the public continue to place bets.
What is the best bet for Dodgers vs. Red Sox?
The sharp money overwhelmingly favors Boston, with 84% of Moneyline handle on the Red Sox at +103 and a staggering 94% of Run Line handle on Boston +1.5. Ranger Suarez (2.51 FIP, 3.23 WAR, 26.3% K rate) holds a clear peripherals edge over Edgardo Henriquez (3.92 xFIP, 11.2% BB rate, 0 career starts), and the Dodgers are missing four rotation arms and catcher Will Smith. The Over 8.5 also draws sharp interest at 76% handle, fueled by Henriquez’s walk rate and Boston’s road power led by Willson Contreras (.888 OPS away).
