Looking for today’s St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds
| Market | Cardinals (Home) | Cubs (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -105 | -114 |
| Run Line | +1.5 (-175) | -1.5 (+144) |
| Total | Over 9 (+100) | Under 9 (-120) |
Chicago opens as a slight road favorite at -114 on the Moneyline with the total set at O/U 9. The Cubs send Colin Rea (7-7, 4.86 ERA) to the mound against St. Louis’ Michael McGreevy (4-8, 3.07 ERA), who has been the better pitcher on paper this season despite a losing record.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cardinals | 14% | 8% |
| Moneyline | Cubs | 86% | 92% |
| Run Line | Cardinals +1.5 | 44% | 5% |
| Run Line | Cubs -1.5 | 56% | 95% |
| Total | Over 9 | 86% | 99% |
| Total | Under 9 | 14% | 1% |
Public Betting Trends
The Cubs are commanding overwhelming support from both the public and sharp money. On the Moneyline, 92% of handle backs Chicago with 86% of tickets, showing near-unanimous confidence in the road favorite. The Run Line is where the sharpest divergence appears: 95% of money is on Cubs -1.5 despite only 56% of tickets, a 39-point gap that signals professional bettors are willing to lay plus money on a multi-run Chicago win.
The total tells an even more dramatic story. Over 9 is drawing 99% of handle with 86% of bets, a 13-point differential indicating the largest wagers are hammering the over. Virtually no sharp money is touching the under side of this total.
Across all three markets, sharp and recreational money align on the same side. Chicago and the over are attracting disproportionate handle relative to tickets, leaving St. Louis with almost no professional backing heading into first pitch.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Stats
Team Batting Stats
| Stat | Cardinals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .240 | .248 |
| OBP | .315 | .339 |
| SLG | .381 | .415 |
| OPS | .696 | .754 |
| ISO | .141 | .167 |
| K% | 20.4% | 21.8% |
Team Pitching Stats
| Stat | Cardinals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 4.16 | 4.22 |
| WHIP | 1.339 | 1.268 |
| K/9 | 7.75 | 7.86 |
| K/BB | 2.30 | 2.57 |
| OBA | .253 | .246 |
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Stat | Michael McGreevy (STL) | Colin Rea (CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-8 | 7-7 |
| ERA | 3.07 | 4.86 |
| WHIP | 1.128 | 1.420 |
| FIP | 4.23 | 4.95 |
| xFIP | 4.16 | 4.67 |
| WAR | 1.28 | 0.25 |
| K% | 16.3% | 17.5% |
| BB% | 5.9% | 8.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.18 | 1.45 |
| K/9 | 5.83 | 6.90 |
| Starts | 20 | 17 |
| QS | 13 | 3 |
DraftKings Player Props
- Colin Rea Strikeouts Thrown O/U 3.5 (-109 / -117)
- Colin Rea Earned Runs Allowed O/U 2.5 (-109 / -122)
- Colin Rea Outs O/U 15.5 (-132 / -101)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Bases O/U 1.5 (-105 / -126)
- Alec Burleson Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+102 / -135)
- Alex Bregman Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+135 / -180)
- Seiya Suzuki Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+118 / -157)
- JJ Wetherholt Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+127 / -169)
Key Matchup Numbers
- Cubs road power: Pete Crow-Armstrong leads all Cubs hitters on the road with an .884 OPS and 11 home runs in 210 at-bats, presenting a significant threat against McGreevy’s 5.83 K/9 and limited ability to generate whiffs. Alex Bregman adds a .770 OPS with 7 HR in 204 road AB.
- Walker vs. Rea: Jordan Walker (.293 AVG, .828 OPS at home with 9 HR in 208 AB) is the Cardinals’ best hope against Rea’s 1.420 WHIP and 4.86 ERA. Rea has managed just 3 quality starts in 17 outings, suggesting a short leash that could expose Chicago’s bullpen.
- Cardinals in free fall: St. Louis is in free fall at 2-8 in its last 10 games on a two-game losing streak. Chicago is 6-4 over its last 10 and 30-24 away from home this season. The Cubs also carry a .754 OPS to St. Louis’ .696, a 58-point gap that favors the visitors in a game with O/U 9.
Despite McGreevy’s superior ERA and peripheral numbers, the market is clearly pricing in the massive offensive gap between these two lineups. Chicago’s .339 OBP and .167 ISO give it a run-production edge that Rea’s high WHIP may not matter against, especially with the Cardinals’ anemic .696 OPS limiting the damage McGreevy’s defense can do.
Betting Splits Summary
| Metric | Cardinals / Under | Cubs / Over |
|---|---|---|
| ML Handle | 8% | 92% |
| ML Bets | 14% | 86% |
| RL Handle | 5% | 95% |
| RL Bets | 44% | 56% |
| Total Handle | 1% | 99% |
| Total Bets | 14% | 86% |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
Betting splits show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.
Should you follow betting splits?
Splits are one tool among many. They are most useful when a clear divergence exists between public tickets and money handle, suggesting professional disagreement with the recreational consensus. They work best combined with line movement analysis and matchup context.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update approximately every two minutes, providing near real-time insight into how the market is moving as game time approaches.
What is the best bet for Cardinals vs. Cubs?
The sharpest action is on Cubs -1.5 at +144, where 95% of handle backs Chicago to win by multiple runs despite only 56% of tickets. The Over 9 at +100 is the other sharp-aligned play, drawing 99% of money. With Crow-Armstrong (.884 OPS on the road) and Bregman (.770 OPS) leading a Cubs offense that carries a .754 team OPS against a Cardinals club in a 2-8 tailspin, the Cubs Run Line offers plus-money value aligned with overwhelming sharp support.
