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Prediction, pick for King Green vs. Terrance McKinney at UFC 329

Prediction, pick for King Green vs. Terrance McKinney at UFC 329

Published:

By: Cooper Albers

Don’t blink. Full-throttle lightweights, past and present, collide on Saturday night as King Green takes on Terrance McKinney at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 in Las Vegas. 

Green (35–17–1, 16–12–1 UFC [1 NC]) is riding a three-fight surge, punctuated by a first-round submission win over Jeremy Stephens at UFC 328 in May. McKinney (18–8, 8–5 UFC) has won five of his last seven, most recently stopping Kyle Nelson in under 30 seconds in March. 

McKinney enters as a -135 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Green is a +114 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 1.5 rounds.

Green vs. McKinney Preview

King Green

  • (35–17–1, 16–12–1 UFC [1 NC])
  • 12–6 (T)KO
  • 10–3 SUB

The self-anointed King Green has surged in the twilight of his career. The 155-pound linchpin has won three straight bouts, a torrid stretch that included an upset stoppage victory over rising prospect Daniel Zellhuber earlier this year. He returned in May with a first-round submission win over a returning Jeremy Stephens. 

The Fighter Formerly Known as Bobby Green, 39, won’t be challenging for a belt anytime soon, but he remains a formidable gatekeeper for the division’s top 15. His only losses over the last two-and-a-half years have come against legitimate contenders in Paddy Pimblett and Mauricio Ruffy. 

Green can finish a fight on the feet or on the ground, and he’ll be looking to add to his highlight reel Saturday night.

Terrance McKinney

  • 18–8 (8–5 UFC)
  • 9–5 (T)KO
  • 9–3 SUB

Terrance McKinney fights like he’s in a video game. The explosive American has never gone the distance across 26 pro fights — nor has he seen the second round in nearly three years.

“T. Wrecks,” 31, is famous for his kill-or-be-killed style and early stoppages, winning his 2021 Octagon debut against Matt Frevola in just seven seconds. McKinney needed less than 30 seconds to secure a TKO over Kyle Nelson in March, his fifth victory in his last seven trips to the cage. 

However, McKinney’s breakneck style often comes back to bite him. Defensive negligence and poor durability — all eight of his losses have come by stoppage within two rounds — consistently thwart him from climbing the lightweight ladder. Four years and 13 fights into his UFC career, McKinney has still yet to face a ranked opponent. 

Green vs. McKinney Pick, Best Bet

This one should boil down to Octagon experience. Green — who made his professional debut in 2008 — has a whopping 30 UFC fights under his belt, a resume that features some of the toughest names at 155 pounds. Leaning on his veteran prowess, he should shrug off blitzes from the novice and reckless McKinney — beating the brakes off his opponent en route to his fourth-straight victory. 

Best Bet: King Green by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (+130)

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