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WNBA Best Bets Today: Top Prop Bets for New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday 6/30/26

WNBA Best Bets Today: Top Prop Bets for New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday 6/30/26

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By: Alex Hunter

The Liberty and Aces are going head-to-head in New York on Tuesday for the Commissioner’s Cup Final. On DraftKings Sportsbook, New York is favored by 6.5 points and this game carries a total of 173.5 points. Below, I have featured three of my favorite WNBA player prop bets for this contest on DraftKings Sportsbook.


Top WNBA Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Chenndey Carter 14+ Points (-108)

The Aces received some tough news Tuesday morning that A’ja Wilson (leg) would miss this Commissioner’s Cup Final, which is the four-time MVP’s first missed game of the season. Wilson leads the WNBA with 25.7 PPG and a 31.8% usage rate this season, so her being out creates a massive void. Carter just returned from a five-game absence due to an illness this past Sunday and scored 11 points in 15 minutes off the bench, and the Aces are going to need her to step up with Wilson missing.

Carter is a candidate for Sixth Player of the Year – she carries the second-best odds for the award at +160 on DraftKings Sportsbook – and she has had some huge games this season even with Wilson active, scoring 18+ points in 5-of-11 games. She is a ball dominant player who is handling a 30.3% usage rate this season and that rate increases to a team-high 34.9% with Wilson off the floor. While Carter may only see around 20 minutes as this is just her second game back, she is going to see a ton of shots and should have no problems reaching 14 points with the expanded role.



Jonquel Jones O 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-121)

Jones has been terrific from deep as of late. In her last 10, Jones is averaging 2.3 made treys on 5.3 attempts per game, resulting in a 43.8% three-point percentage. She has knocked down 3+ treys in seven of her last 10 and while Jones went just 1-of-4 from beyond the arc vs. the Aces last week, this is unlikely to happen again.

Not only is Jones in great form as a shooter, but the Aces are a friendly matchup, allowing the fourth-most made three-pointers per game this season (9.1) and they are likely to be even weaker at defending outside shooters with Wilson sidelined.


Sabrina Ionescu O 14.5 Points (-117)

Ionescu has struggled mightily as a scorer this season, averaging a career-low 9.5 PPG, but she is in a perfect position to have a strong performance tonight. Ionescu just faced the Aces last week and she had her best game of the season, posting 16 points across 29 minutes on 5-of-12 shooting.

Ionescu did this with Wilson in the lineup for the Aces and now, the four-time MVP will be inactive tonight, softening Las Vegas’ defense dramatically. With Wilson off the court this season, the Aces own a 114.8 defensive rating, which would be the worst rating in the league if it were their average for the season. On top of this being a great matchup, Satou Sabally (concussion) is out for the Liberty, which should result in some extra usage for Ionescu. The guard has seen usage rates of 22% and 21% with Sabally inactive for the last two, and Ionescu should seize the opportunity tonight and top 14.5 points.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.