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Prediction, pick for Mantas Kondratavicius vs. Antonio Trocoli

Prediction, pick for Mantas Kondratavicius vs. Antonio Trocoli

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

After earning a UFC contract on Dana White’s Contender Series, Mantas Kondratavicius is in London, England, to make his official UFC debut against Antonio Trocoli. This fight is taking place on today’s UFC Fight Night Prelims, which begin at 1:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

Check out my best bet for Mantas Kondratavicius vs. Antonio Trocoli taking place at today’s UFC Fight Night Prelims.

Mantas Kondratavicius to Win by KO/TKO/DQ in Round 1 (-120)

Trocoli has been in the UFC since 2024, but his stint in the promotion hasn’t gone as planned. He is 0-3 in the UFC, with all three losses coming by submission or knockout. Trocoli has faced rising stars, and that continues today with Kondratavicius. In this bout, Trocoli is three inches taller (6’5″ vs. 6’2″) and has a five-inch reach advantage (80″ vs. 75″).

Kondratavicius is a massive -1050 favorite in this contest, while Trocoli is a +675 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds with the under being -245. Kondratavicius is -550 to win this fight by KO/TKO/DQ or submission.

Since Kondratavicius is such a big favorite, let’s look at a different way to back the surging prospect. Kondratavicius’ last five wins have come in the first round, and he hasn’t made it to a second round since June 2023. With that being the case, my favorite play in this contest is taking Kondratavicius to win in the first round at –120. Kondratavicius should be able to neutralize Trocoli’s size advantage with his quickness and power on the feet.

Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.