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Best NBA three-point prop bets for Friday 1/30/26

Best NBA three-point prop bets for Friday 1/30/26

Published:

By: Zach Thompson

The NBA has another busy schedule to wrap up the work week with nine games on the scoreboard Friday night. While it can be fun to focus on a specific game or matchup, it’s also exciting to survey the entire landscape and find a good mix of players from across multiple games. One of my favorite ways to attack slates like this is by finding a few players who stand out for their three-pointers made (3PM) props on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Cheering for specific players to hit three-pointers (or not hit three-pointers) is a great way to take in all the action, and DraftKings Sportsbook has plenty of player props on the board to consider. Normally, I try to target low three-point prop totals so that they can hit quickly, either early or late, without needing lots of build-up.

Let’s dive into my top four three-point prop bets for this Friday NBA slate.

Anthony Black Over 1.5 3PM (-139)

The Magic have Jalen Suggs back at point guard, but they’re still without Franz Wagner (ankle), which leaves enough space for Black to continue his breakout season that really took off while Suggs was sidelined.

Black is averaging 1.7 3PM per game this season and has produced multiple threes in seven of his last eight games. He’s also hit multiple threes in each of his last three games, including going 4-for-7 from long range on his way to 26 points on Wednesday, as the Magic snapped a four-game losing streak.

The Magic are back home in a tougher matchup against the Raptors, in what should be one of the best matchups of the night. However, Black’s heavy usage should continue, giving him a great chance to deliver another game with multiple 3PM.

Saddiq Bey Over 1.5 3PM (-166)

The Pelicans are also getting healthy, with a much better rotation around Bey than he was part of earlier this year. Hebert Jones’ return has actually opened up some usage for him, while Trey Murphy III moving more on-ball allows Bey to keep getting plenty of minutes in the starting five.

On the season, Bey is averaging 1.8 3PM per game, and he has gone over this 3PM prop line in each of his three games since Jones returned. He’s taken at least 15 shots in each of those three games, with a total of 22 from long-range (7.3 attempts per game).

Last week, Bey lit up the Grizzlies for six 3PM and scored 36 points to lead the Pelicans to a win in Memphis. He’ll try to get his team another win in the rematch in New Orleans on Friday, and he has a great chance to hit multiple threes in what should be another high-scoring affair.

Peyton Watson Over 1.5 3PM (-123)

The Nuggets host the Clippers in the Mile High City on Friday night, and the team will continue to rely on Watson as a major offensive contributor with Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Cam Johnson and Christian Braun all ruled out.

After missing a game with sprained ankles, Watson only shot 1-for-6 from three-point range in his return on Tuesday against the Pistons. He bounced back on Thursday, though, with two 3PM and 19 points against the Nets in the first game of this back-to-back.

In his 14 games this month, Watson has averaged 2.4 3PM while playing 36.1 minutes per game. He has gone over this prop line nine times in those 14 games, including three of his last four. With his team looking for offense, he should be able to get over this 3PM prop on Friday night against the Clippers, as long as he doesn’t make a surprise appearance on the injury report.

Ace Bailey Over 1.5 3PM (-108)

The Jazz host the Nets, who will be on the second night of a back-to-back, and the team has already ruled out Lauri Markkanen (rest), Jusuf Nurkic (illness) and Cody Williams (illness). Without Markkanen, more work will be available, and lately, rookie Ace Bailey has been contributing some solid numbers in the up-tempo Utah offense.

Bailey is averaging 1.5 3PM per game this season, but he has been more productive from long range over his last several games, averaging 2.3 3PM over his last seven contests and going over this prop line in all but one of those seven games.

The 19-year-old has started nine straight contests and is averaging over 31 minutes per game with plenty of opportunities based on his 20.8% usage rate over that span. In what could be an ugly game, the Jazz will still be sure to get the youngster plenty of chances, so I think he’ll be able to deliver a win in this 3PM prop.

If you stack the four props in this post, the parlay drops at a juicy +862. I also recommend playing them at small units in round robins to still get a solid payout even if just one of these picks comes up short on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Zach has been part of the DraftKings team since 2017 and covers baseball, basketball, golf, football and any other sport that offers DFS fun. He has been playing fantasy sports since box scores were only available in the newspaper the following day. Even though he grew up almost 8,000 miles away in Guam, he is a diehard Boston sports fan but will take a fantasy value play wherever he can get it, even if it’s from the Yankees.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.