The Bears are hosting the Packers on Saturday for a win-or-go-home Wild Card matchup. Green Bay enters as a 1.5-point favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, with the game total set at 44.5 points.
These NFC North rivals met twice during the regular season. The Packers won at Lambeau Field in Week 14, and the Bears settled the score at Soldier Field in an overtime thriller in Week 16.
As always, DraftKings is offering some huge contests for this Showdown slate between the Bears and Packers. Below, I dive into some of my favorite targets for this slate.
Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $600K Saturday Night Showdown [$200K to 1st] (GB @ CHI)
Captain’s Picks
D’Andre Swift ($13,800 CPT, $9,200 FLEX)
Swift was solid against the Packers during the regular season, scoring 11.2 and nine FPTS in the two respective matchups. Green Bay’s defense is more vulnerable than ever right now, with Micah Parsons (knee) out for the season. With the All-Pro pass rusher sidelined for the last three games, the Packers allowed the NFL’s fifth-most yards per carry (5.4). Derrick Henry erupted for 48.6 FPTS against Green Bay in Week 17 — and while we can’t expect that level of production from Swift, a strong showing seems increasingly likely.
During the regular season, Swift averaged 4.9 yards per carry while logging 57.8% of snaps. The veteran ranked 12th in red zone carries (40), and he saw a target on 15% of his routes, which he ran on 46% of Chicago’s dropbacks. Swift topped 20 FPTS in five of 17 games, and rostering him at captain shouldn’t be a common strategy.
UTIL Plays
Caleb Williams ($15,900 CPT, $10,600 FLEX)
Williams finished with 21 FPTS in the comeback win against the Packers in Week 16, and he’ll likely find similar success in the Wild Card matchup. He averaged 6.9 yards per attempt during the regular season, throwing 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Saturday’s contest will take place at Soldier Field, where Williams averaged 20.5 FPTS in eight regular-season matchups.
Luke Musgrave ($3,900 CPT, $2,600 FLEX)
While Musgrave lacks upside, the price tag is too low for his role as the Packers’ starting tight end. He is also an attractive punt play for the Showdown slate. After Tucker Kraft suffered a season-ending knee injury in Week 9, Musgrave garnered a target on 15% of his routes, running one on 50% of Green Bay’s dropbacks. He scored 4.2 and 6.8 FPTS in his two matchups against the Bears and is well-positioned to find similar success in the trilogy matchup. Chicago surrendered the NFL’s fifth-most yards per pass during the regular season (7.6).
Christian Watson ($11,700 CPT, $7,800 FLEX)
Watson is also a compelling target against Chicago’s weak secondary. The wideout exposed the Bears with 24.9 FPTS in Week 14, one of Watson’s four performances topping 18 FPTS in his last seven games. After his regular-season debut in Week 8, Watson garnered a target on 23% of his routes, which he ran on 70% of his team’s dropbacks. He garnered 18 targets over 20 yards, along with six red zone looks. Watson impressively ranked fourth in aDOT (18) and fifth in YPPR during the regular season, and he is well-positioned to outperform his modest price tag.
Fades
Rome Odunze ($13,200 CPT, $8,800 FLEX)
Odunze is returning the Wild Card after missing the last five games with a fracture in his foot. It’s hard to imagine him seeing a full workload in his return, especially since he was engulfed in a rough patch before his injury. Odunze scored single-digit FPTS in four of his last five games, including a donut against the dreadful Bengals defense in Week 9.
Luther Burden and Colston Loveland have both thrived in larger roles in Odunze’s absence, and it seems likely the receiver will play a secondary role in Chicago’s passing game in his first game back. Considering his potentially limited workload, don’t expect him to justify his lofty price tag.
THE OUTCOME
Playing at home is a huge deal for the Bears, who are 6-2 at Soldier Field this season. Chicago should win this Wild Card against the rival Packers, who closed out the regular season with four straight losses — including an overtime heartbreak in the Windy City.
Final Score: Bears 28, Packers 21
