Thursday Night Football brings us a showdown between two NFC teams fighting for their playoff lives. In a loaded postseason field, the 7-5 Detroit Lions and 6-5-1 Dallas Cowboys are on the outside looking in. The loser would be all but eliminated. With such high stakes between two great offenses, the player prop market is popping. That includes Cowboys starting running back Javonte Williams.
Detroit is a three-point home favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, with Dallas listed as +140 underdogs on the moneyline. The total for this game on the DraftKings Sportsbook is set at a whopping 54.5 points. Let’s get into my favorite Javonte Williams player prop for Thursday Night Football.
Best Javonte Williams Prop Bet For Cowboys vs. Lions
Williams’ resurgence in Dallas was a huge story early in the season. But, as the year has gone on, he has gone from a top-tier producer to merely a solid workhorse. That has made the margins even thinner for this Dallas Cowboys team.
In the first six starts of the season, Williams averaged 89.4 rushing yards per game on 5.6 yards per carry with five scores. Following a total dud against the Carolina Panthers, he’s still averaged 79.8 rushing yards over his last six — but only on 4.5 YPC. It’s a noticeable downtick as his usage remains high.
But the angle I’m targeting here concerns his receiving game. In his first six games of the season, Williams was targeted 28 times for 22 ineffective catches. It seems head coach Brian Schottenheimer and the play-calling staff have caught on to his struggles in the pass game, cutting his targets in half over his last six.
It’s not the flashiest pick. But it’s the one I feel best about.
