AFC rivals with withering playoff hopes go head-to-head on Sunday afternoon, as the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Buffalo Bills at Acrisure Stadium.
The Bills (7–4, 2nd AFC East) have dropped two of their last three and look to rebound from a demoralizing road loss to the Houston Texans. The Steelers (6–5, 1st AFC North), meanwhile, have dropped four of their last six and aim to bounce back from a narrow road loss to the Chicago Bears.
Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. The Bills enter as three-point road favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook, while the Steelers are listed as +140 underdogs. The game’s total is set at 45.5 points.
Here are the top player prop bets for Sunday’s Week 13 matchup between the Bills and Steelers.
Bills vs. Steelers Best Prop Bets
Aaron Rodgers Under 204.5 Pass Yards (-113)
Held out of action a week longer than he would have liked, Aaron Rodgers finally returns to the field after fracturing his non-throwing wrist in Week 11 against the Cincinnati Bengals. While the veteran QB has had a resurgent season in Pittsburgh, he’s unlikely to enjoy a soft landing in his first game back against the Bills.
Buffalo boasts one of the best defensive backfields in the NFL, tied for the third-fewest passing touchdowns allowed, while leading the league in opponent passing yards. Don’t expect Rodgers, who hasn’t topped 204.5 passing yards since October, to surpass the threshold on Sunday afternoon.
Jaylen Warren 70+ Rush Yards (+128)
While the Bills shut down the passing game, they have been completely dusted on the ground. Not only is Buffalo tied for the most rushing TDs allowed at a whopping 17 — it’s also surrendered the third-most rushing yards in the sport.
Considering Buffalo’s strong secondary, Pittsburgh could lean on running back Jaylen Warren to lead the squad downfield. The Oklahoma State product has handled 141 carries for 604 yards and three touchdowns this season, erupting for a season-high 127 yards in Week 7 against the Bengals — another squad that has been crushed by the rush.
Josh Allen 250+ Pass Yards (+130)
Buffalo’s playoff hopes begin and end with the reigning MVP. Josh Allen — who has completed 69.7% of his passes for 2,709 yards, 18 touchdowns, and nine interceptions this season — continues to shine despite the Bills’ recent struggles. The 29-year-old field general has topped 250 passing yards in six games this season, including each of his last four outings.
Allen is well-positioned to eclipse 250 yards in five-straight games against the Steelers, who have allowed the NFL’s third-most opponent passing yards this season. Count on No. 17 to do his part to keep Buffalo in the hunt on Sunday afternoon.
