With CJ Stroud out of the lineup for the third straight game, everyone in this Texans’ offense has to step up. Backup quarterback Davis Mills needs to keep the offense together, Nick Chubb and Woody Marks have to pick up solid gains on the ground, and Nico Collins must shoulder his WR1 load again. Dalton Schultz plays a vital role as the security blanket over the middle, and they’ll be counting on him to find the soft spots in this Buffalo Bills defense on Thursday Night Football.
The Bills enter as six-point road favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook, while the Texans are listed as +235 underdogs. The game’s total is set at 43.5 points. Here is my top Woody Marks player prop for Thursday’s matchup between the Bills and Texans.
Best Dalton Schultz Player Prop Bet
Schultz has always been a dependable receiving tight end. He’s working on his sixth straight season with 500+ receiving yards between the Cowboys and the Texans. Schultz won’t break your defense up the seams or “Moss” linebackers and safeties, but he’s great at working over the middle and in the flats to pick up chunks. And quarterback Davis Mills recognizes this.
Through seven games with CJ Stroud at the helm, Schultz put up a respectable 4.6 catches per game for 44.0 yards per target. Solid, but not spectacular. Things have changed since Davis Mills went under center. Including the Broncos matchup, where Mills played the majority of the game after Stroud’s concussion, Schultz is leveling up.
On average, Schultz is getting 6.3 catches for 60.3 yards per game since Mills took over. It’s not just a random boost in efficiency; his targets per game have gone from 5.7 to 9.3 since the quarterback change. This could be a change in the way other teams scheme against Mills compared to Stroud, or a preference on Mills’ part, but the result is the same: Schultz is getting a massive target boost.
Buffalo does a great job against tight ends, but volume is king. Schultz is going to get his looks one way or another.