Gabriel Bonfim headlines his first UFC event this Saturday against Randy Brown. Bonfim enters this fight on a three-fight win streak, with Brown coming off a knockout victory. Tonight’s UFC Fight Night features 12 fights beginning with the Prelims at 4:00 p.m. ET and continuing with the Main Card at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Here are my best bets for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night.
Gabriel Bonfim to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (-105)
Bonfim recently beat Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson by KO/TKO. Even though he is 42 years old, he is still a capable fighter, making it the biggest win of Bonfim’s career up until this point. Although Bonfim has a background in Boxing, he has become a tremendous submission artist in MMA.
Bonfim has won 16 of his 19 fights by knockout or submission, but has won via decision in two of his last three contests. As Bonfim continues to climb the Welterweight rankings, he will need to not just win but do so by finish. There are so many elite and intriguing contenders at 170 pounds, and the fighters who stand out the most will earn the most significant opportunities.
Since Bonfim is -170 on the moneyline, it is best to bet on him to win by KO/TKO/DQ or submission at -105 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Leroy Duncan vs. Tulio Not To Go the Distance (-140)
Two cereal finishers, Christian Leroy Duncan and Marco Tulio, are facing off in the opening bout of the Main Card. Although Tulio is a -175 favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, CLD is supremely talented and has a chance to give Tulio his toughest test of his career.
It is surprising to see the odds being -140 for this fight not to go the distance since CLD and Tulio combine for 21 career finishes. Tulio has won four consecutive fights by knockout, with seven of his previous nine fights coming by finish. CLD has won five fights in the UFC, and four of them have come by knockout.
