One of the best rivalries in sports, the Kansas City Chiefs vs. the Buffalo Bills, adds another chapter on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET. This is the 10th meeting between Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, with Mahomes leading the series 5-4. In the postseason, Mahomes has won all four matchups while Allen holds a 4-1 record over Mahomes and the Chiefs in the regular season.
Here are my favorite player props for today’s Chiefs vs. Bills game.
Patrick Mahomes & Josh Allen – Combined Passing Yards 500+ (-128)
Each time Mahomes and Allen face off, each of them brings their best, leading to an epic showdown. Allen and Mahomes have combined to average 524.3 passing yards per game against each other.
After a down regular season last year, the MVP version of Mahomes has returned. He is second in passing yards (2,099) and first in passing touchdowns (17) in the NFL. Mahomes is averaging 262.4 passing yards per contest, his most since the 2022 season.
Allen, on the other hand, has totaled 1,560 passing yards this season. Allen’s numbers are down, and that is because the Bills have had two wins by 20+ points, with two more by at least 10 points. He has three games this season with 180 or fewer passing yards. But that should change against the Chiefs, as he has had 260 or more passing yards in the last four meetings with them. You can get Mahomes and Allen to combine for 500+ passing yards at -128 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Travis Kelce Over 45.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
In 2024, Travis Kelce didn’t have a great season, but he is in the midst of an elite season. Kelce is second in yards (474)and fifth in catches (37) among tight ends this season. Kelce has totaled more than 45.5 receiving yards in seven of eight contests this season.
Also, Kelce has recorded 56-plus yards in seven of his last 10 games against the Bills. With the way Kelce is playing, getting him to finish with more than 45.4 receiving yards at -110 is an excellent play. Kelce leads the Chiefs in receiving yards and catches. He has been targeted at least seven times in three of the last four weeks.