Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.
On Monday, it’s the best two words in sports: Game 7. The Blue Jays and the Mariners will battle it out for a spot in the World Series, and as is often the case, it’s likely that the team that hits the most home runs will be the one drenched in champagne this evening. In terms on props on the DraftKings Sportsbook, my top two bets are Eugenio Suarez and Addison Barger.
Top Home Run Props on DraftKings Sportsbook
Eugenio Suarez 1+ Home Run (+433)
To say that the Mariners have been home run dependent in this ALCS would be an understatement. In fact, 21 of the club’s 27 runs through six games have been via the long ball, with Eugenio Suarez hitting a pair in Game 5 in Seattle. Let us also not forget that the veteran third baseman registered a career-high tying 49 home runs during the regular season with an 89th percentile barrel rate (14.3%). Suarez is far from a perfect hitter, but he is certainly not short on power. The 34-year-old was at his best in 2025 in same-hand matchups, possessing a .301 ISO and a 137 wRC+ against RHPs. Tonight’s right-hander, at least for the first few innings, will be Shane Bieber, who tossed six quality innings back in Game 3. Still, the former Cy Young Award winner has been hurt by the home run since returning from Tommy John surgery — especially by opposing RHBs. Bieber faced 79 right-handed batters during the regular season. They combined to hit 2.95 home runs per nine with a .396 wOBA. Not ideal!
Addison Barger 1+ Home Run (+700)
A disclaimer off the top: You can obviously just bet for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+309) to hit a home run in Game 7. Vladdy is in the midst of a historic postseason and he’s already set the Blue Jays’ franchise record for long balls in a single playoff run (6). However, if you want a home run prop that’s a little juicier, I’d suggest looking Addison Barger’s way. The 25-year-old slumped throughout September and into October, but Barger’s bat appears to be coming around in recent days. Including a massive home run in his final plate appearance of Game 3, Barger now has five hits in his last 10 at-bats, bringing his postseason wRC+ up to an impressive 148. Also, while his Baseball Savant page isn’t as red as it once was, Barger still finished the regular season in possession of a 91st percentile hard hit rate (51.0%) and a .428 expected wOBA on batted ball events. He’s got power to spare in a matchup with George Kirby, who surrendered three homers and eight earned runs when he last took the mound in this ALCS. With only one southpaw a real possibility to pitch in this game for Seattle, Barger isn’t an obvious pinch-hit threat, either.
