DKNetwork Logo DKNetwork Logo
Isiah Pacheco best prop bets for Chiefs at Jaguars on Monday 10/6/25

Isiah Pacheco best prop bets for Chiefs at Jaguars on Monday 10/6/25

Sports Betting Picks NFL DraftKings Sportsbook Insights

Published:

By: Alex Hunter

The Chiefs are visiting the Jaguars on Monday. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Kansas City is favored by 3.5 points and this game carries a total of 45.5 points.

Below, I have featured my favorite Isiah Pacheco prop to consider from this contest.

Best Isiah Pacheco Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Isiah Pacheco U 9.5 Yards Longest Rush (-140)

Pacheco hasn’t shown much burst this season. The back is averaging 4.0 YPC and Pacheco’s longest run is only 12 yards. The 26-year-old only has three runs of 10+ yards on 32 carries and his role has been slowly on the decline, with Pacheco’s snap rate decreasing in each of the last three games. Conversely, rookie Brashard Smith’s snap rate has increased in each of the last three games and it appears it won’t be long until Smith sees more work than Pacheco, possibly as soon as tonight. In the Chiefs’ last game, Pacheco only saw seven carries and he logged a season-low 37% of the snaps.

Not only is Pacheco’s efficiency and role concerning, he is going against a stout Jaguars run defense that is allowing the seventh-fewest yards per rush in the league (3.9). Impressively, Jacksonville is giving up the fewest YAC on rushes (195) and it’s a defense that has surrendered a league-low two rushes over 10 yards this season.

Pacheco should struggle mightily in this ugly spot and him having any rushes of double-digit yards would be surprising.

Alex Hunter
Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.