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Dalton Kincaid best prop bets for Bills vs. Dolphins on Thursday 9/18/25

Dalton Kincaid best prop bets for Bills vs. Dolphins on Thursday 9/18/25

Sports Betting Picks NFL DraftKings Sportsbook Insights

Published:

By: Alex Hunter

The Bills are hosting the Dolphins for Thursday Night Football. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Buffalo is favored by 12.5 points and this game carries a total of 49.5 points.

Below, I have featured my favorite Dalton Kincaid prop to consider from this contest.

Best Dalton Kincaid Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Dalton Kincaid 5+ First Quarter Receiving Yards (-154)

Kincaid is off to a solid start this season. After catching all four of his targets for 48 yards vs. the Ravens in Week 1, the tight end caught four of his six targets for 37 yards vs. the Jets in Week 2. While Kincaid’s 14.3% target share this season isn’t eye popping, he has been aggressively utilized early in games, leading the Bills with a huge 36.4% target share in the first quarter.

Kincaid has posted at least seven first quarter receiving yards in each of his first two games and he is in a prime spot Thursday vs. the Dolphins. Miami is allowing the highest completion percentage in the league (78.8%) and the team is giving up the third-most yards per pass (9.1).

Specifically to tight ends, the Dolphins are yielding the sixth-most receiving yards (143) and the fourth-most plays over 15 yards (four). Kincaid posting 5+ receiving yards in the first quarter tonight feels very likely and he is an excellent bet for this early game prop.

Alex Hunter
Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.