30 teams. 15 games. Two bets. The math might not be making perfect sense with that ratio, but I assure you, these aren’t just two random MLB bets for this evening — they’re my best bets.
Let’s dive in and find a couple winners on the DraftKings Sportsbook.
Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals
Under 8.5 (-115)
While I fully understand that this isn’t exactly the sexiest pitching matchup in the world — or that both teams traded high-leverage relievers at the deadline — I think this total is giving these lineups too much credit.
Let’s start with the Cardinals, who will be opposed by Kyle Freeland on Tuesday evening. First and foremost, St. Louis isn’t operating at 100% health at the moment. Nolan Arenado (shoulder) is currently on the IL, while both Brendan Donovan and Lars Nootbar are dealing with nagging, day-to-day type ailments. That’s left the Cardinals’ batting order feeling a little bit light in recent weeks. In fact, across the past 14 days, St. Louis combines the league’s lowest ISO (.090) with its second-lowest wRC+ (78). Freeland isn’t a good pitcher by any means, but he does sport a 3.96 xFIP away from Coors in 2025. He should be able to hold his own.
On the other side, we all know the deal with the Rockies hitting outside of Colorado, yet I’ll still do the required list of pathetic stats. The Rockies rank dead-last in batting average (.211), wOBA (.270) and wRC+ (70) when playing on the road this season. It’s gross and bad. Matthew Liberatore might not be my preferred archetype of starter — a 17.6% strikeout rate is worrisome — but the man does possess a 3.98 ERA and 3.69 FIP across 113.0 innings of work. He’s a legit MLB arm and he’ll be able to stifle Colorado’s offensive output. It isn’t an uncommon occurrence. The under has hit in 59.3% of the Rockies’ away games in 2025.
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees
Yankees -1.5 (-119)
While Carlos Rodon has had his struggles in recent starts, I’m having a hard time seeing how tonight’s tilt in the Bronx doesn’t end in a lopsided Yankees’ victory. I can really sum up these feelings in three words: Twins’ bullpen game.
Minnesota has yet to announce a starter for Tuesday’s contest, but it’s likely that Thomas Hatch will heavily factor into the equation. The journeyman RHP picked up the win last Wednesday after tossing 56 pitches in a bulk role and it’s likely he’ll be tasked with eating innings once again. However, I don’t imagine a second positive decision is on the horizon for the 30-year-old, who had been pitching with Kansas City’s Triple-A squad for a majority of 2025 following an unsuccessful stint in the NPB in Japan.
It’s not just Hatch, either. Remember that we are fewer than two weeks removed from the Twins trading an MLB-high 10 players off their 26-man roster at the deadline. Five of those were relievers, with Jhoan Duran, Brock Stewart, Griffin Jax, Danny Coulombe and Louis Varland all now calling new organizations home. There’s a lot of unknowns in this unit and Minnesota’s taxed this group over the past four days. If Hatch doesn’t have it tonight — and history suggests he won’t — there’s not many places for Rocco Baldelli to turn.
