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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners prediction, pick for Friday 7/25/25

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners prediction, pick for Friday 7/25/25

Published:

By: Dan Johnson

Tonight’s showdown at Angel Stadium carries playoff reverberations for two AL West teams fighting for every inch in the standings. I’m watching José Soriano’s 3.83 ERA and 4.3 walks per nine innings that threaten to inflate against Seattle’s lineup. Bryan Woo’s 2.91 ERA and pinpoint control set the tone for a pitchers’ duel on this cool Anaheim night. Below, I’ve got my preview, prediction, and best bet for this Wednesday night baseball game between the Angels and the Mariners.

Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.

Angels vs. Mariners prediction, preview

Mariners’ Bryan Woo enters with a 2.91 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, limiting opponents to a .216 batting average and generating 8.6 K/9. His 115:22 K:BB ratio showcases elite control that neutralizes Anaheim’s power. José Soriano answers with a 3.83 ERA but a 1.43 WHIP, issuing 4.3 walks per nine innings and flirting with danger every outing. Soriano’s 68% ground‑ball rate stifles homers but still leaves traffic on the bases.

Seattle’s offense sputters through the lineup, hitting .247 overall with a middling .412 slugging percentage. Julio Rodríguez has battled through a .268 BABIP over his last five contests, delivering just two extra‑base hits in that span. Cal Raleigh’s gaudy 39 home runs disguise a recent cold streak with only one homer in his last ten games. Seattle ranks 25th in wRC+ over the past week, hinting they’ll struggle to blow this game open.

The Angels counter with a lifeless offense batting .235 and ranking 30th in MLB strikeout rate. Nolan Schanuel and Taylor Ward combine for a meager 86 wRC+ since the break, leaving minimal threat against Woo’s arsenal. Los Angeles bats have chased 18% of non‑zone pitches this season, fueling Soriano’s 23% chase rate that generates weak contact.

Mariners vs. Angels pick, best bet

Critics will point to Seattle’s four‑run victory last night as evidence of the lineup’s firepower. That ignores the context: three solo homers, two of them in one inning, padded a thin offense in their 4‑2 win. The Mariners remain 27th in RISP efficiency, converting runners into runs at a 86 OPS+ that undermines big rallies. Their recent surge feels fluky, not sustainable against a pitcher like Woo who thrives on soft contact.

Angel Stadium’s run factor sits at 1.031, but weather forecasts call for cool evening air and closed roof conditions. That neutralizes the park’s home‑run boost and plays into both pitchers’ strengths. With Soriano’s ground‑ball heavy arsenal and Woo’s strikeout prowess, extra‑base hits become premium events, not marathon innings.

I’m locking in under 8 runs. Expect two pitchers to command the zone, two offensives to flail at marginal offerings, and a low‑scoring battle decided by one big swing or bullpen miscue. The details align too neatly for anything else. This feels like a classic pitchers’ duel that stalls any hopes of a run‑fest.

Best bet: Angels vs. Mariners u8.0 total runs (+100)

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Dan Johnson has been an editor, writer, and analyst for DraftKings and DraftKings Network since 2024. He’s previously held editorial posts at The Paris Review, Macmillan Publishers, Bedford/St. Martin’s Press, ASSIGNMENT Magazine, and FantasySixPack. You can find his various editorial work & writing (sports-related and non-) at all of the above.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is thegreatdansby9) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.