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Best Pete Crow-Armstrong prop bet for Cardinals vs. Cubs on Thursday 6/26/25

Best Pete Crow-Armstrong prop bet for Cardinals vs. Cubs on Thursday 6/26/25

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By: Dan Johnson

Pete Crow-Armstrong has evolved into one of the most electric names in the National League this season, carrying Chicago’s offense with a mix of raw power and game-breaking speed. Every time he steps into the box, you can feel the momentum shift toward the Cubs. The 2025 campaign has been his breakout: a .272 average, 21 homers, and a near-elite .560 slugging percentage have put him on the map as a future superstar. Chicago leans on him most in these tense divisional matchups, and today’s finale against the Cardinals is as big as they come. The Cubs are trying to close out this series and keep control of the NL Central, making Crow-Armstrong’s impact the difference between momentum and another setback. If Chicago hopes to fend off St. Louis and keep their season on the rails, they need their young star to rise again this afternoon. Below, I’ve broken down my favorite Pete Crow-Armstrong prop bet on DraftKings Sportsbook for the Cardinals vs. Cubs game today (pick/prediction in link!).

Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.


Best Pete Crow-Armstrong prop bet today

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 total bases (+115)

I’m zeroing in on Pete Crow-Armstrong to go over 1.5 total bases because this is exactly the spot where his bat catches fire. Chicago’s electric outfielder is riding a five-game hit streak, hitting .350 with four doubles and a homer in that stretch, and his underlying metrics scream that this surge is sustainable. Over his last 30 plate appearances, Crow-Armstrong’s 46.2% hard-hit rate and 10.3% barrel rate rank in the 85th percentile across all hitters. That kind of power plays perfectly against Andre Pallante, who’s allowing a 44.8% hard-hit rate and an elevated 1.20 HR/9 this season.

Pallante thrives on keeping the ball on the ground, but Crow-Armstrong crushes sinkers and sliders—the two pitches that make up most of Pallante’s arsenal—with an eye-popping 1.124 OPS against them over the last two weeks. That’s a 120-point jump in his xSLG over his season average, proof that his swing path is perfectly tuned to the stuff he’ll see tonight.

And let’s not forget Crow-Armstrong’s aggressive baserunning. Even a single could become a double with his wheels, and his 94th-percentile sprint speed underscores that threat. Chicago needs a jolt right now—this is one of its roughest patches all year—and Shota Imanaga’s return steadies the clubhouse and raises the stakes. The Cubs will jump on the Cardinals early, and Crow-Armstrong will be front and center in that ambush.

With the wind blowing out at Busch and Pallante’s shaky home-run prevention, I’m eyeing PCA o1.5 total bases with zero hesitation. This is a money spot for one of Chicago’s most dangerous bats—and MLB’s most exciting players—to deliver big in a day game.

Dan Johnson has been an editor, writer, and analyst for DraftKings and DraftKings Network since 2024. He’s previously held editorial posts at The Paris Review, Macmillan Publishers, Bedford/St. Martin’s Press, ASSIGNMENT Magazine, and FantasySixPack. You can find his various editorial work & writing (sports-related and non-) at all of the above.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is thegreatdansby9) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.