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How have the Game 6 odds of the NBA Finals shifted since the Tyrese Haliburton injury news?

How have the Game 6 odds of the NBA Finals shifted since the Tyrese Haliburton injury news?

Updated:

By: Alex Hunter

Tyrese Haliburton is dealing with a strained calf that he suffered in Game 5 and Pacers’ head coach Rick Carlisle stated Wednesday morning in a radio interview that Haliburton will be a game-time decision for Thursday’s Game 6 in Indiana. ESPN’s Shams Charania reported Tuesday that Haliburton will have an MRI to determine the severity of his calf injury, but the results of that MRI have yet to be announced.

Following the Haliburton injury news Tuesday, the lines for Game 6 have unsurprisingly moved on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Pacers were a +164 underdog on the moneyline as of 1:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, but those odds have moved to +210. As for the spread, Indiana has moved from a 5.5-point underdog to a 6.5-point underdog. Below are the current betting splits for Game 6.

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Thunder vs. Pacers Game 6 Betting Splits

With 67% of the handle and 56% of the bets backing the Thunder -6.5, there is a chance of Oklahoma City becoming a seven-point favorite before tip-off Thursday, as most of the new money is likely to keep coming in on the Thunder with Haliburton being labeled as a game-time decision.

While the guard was able to play through the injury and log 34 minutes in Game 5, Haliburton was very ineffective, finishing with four points, seven rebounds and six assists. The 25-year-old went 0-for-6 from the field and finished -13 in plus/minus, which was the second-worst in the box score for Indiana.

Haliburton has been outstanding and very clutch this postseason, and if he isn’t 100% or ends up inactive, the Pacers are likely in big trouble. With Haliburton out this season, Indiana owns a 4-5 record. To make matters worse, on the other side of this matchup is a true powerhouse in the Thunder, who are oozing with confidence right now after two straight wins. After a victory this season, Oklahoma City is a terrific 63-19. Furthermore, the Thunder are a league-best 63-37-4 ATS and 50-29-3 ATS following a win.

Backing the Thunder at -6.5 is the right move in this situation and doing it quickly is wise, before the line keeps moving.

As for the total, 81% of the handle and 77% for the bets are for over 222.5 points, and tailing the public here is smart, despite Haliburton’s injury. In the nine games the guard has missed this season, Indiana remained elite offensively as a team, averaging 118.8 PPG.

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.