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Aaron Nesmith Best Prop Bets for Pacers at Thunder Game 5

Aaron Nesmith Best Prop Bets for Pacers at Thunder Game 5

Published:

By: Alex Hunter

Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Pacers and Thunder will be in Oklahoma City on Monday. On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Thunder are a 9.5-point favorite for Game 5 and this contest presents a total of 223.5 points.

Below, I have featured my favorite Aaron Nesmith prop bet to consider from this contest.


Best Aaron Nesmith Prop Bet on DraftKings Sportsbook

Aaron Nesmith U 11.5 Points (-130)

The Thunder are the No. 1 rated defense in the NBA this season and Nesmith has had a tough time in this brutal matchup. The wing has scored single digits in each of the last two games of these NBA Finals vs. Oklahoma City and Nesmith is averaging just 9.2 PPG in his five matchups with the Thunder this season. The ex-Celtic has fell short of 11.5 points in all but one of these five games and during these NBA Finals, Nesmith is shooting an ugly 37.1% from the field and his usage rate has been at a modest 16.5%.

The Pacers are visiting the Thunder for Game 5 on Monday and with the Thunder 9-2 at home during these playoffs with a ridiculous 26.5-point margin of victory, Indiana is rightfully so a 9.5-point road underdog for this contest. As you can see, Oklahoma City is extremely tough to beat at home and this being a lopsided affair is totally possible, which would limit Nesmith’s playing time. Overall, in the Pacers’ six losses this postseason, the 25-year-old is only averaging 9.7 PPG and he has stayed under 11.5 points in four of these six defeats. All signs are pointing toward Nesmith struggling in Game 5 and he is an excellent bet for under 11.5 points.

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.