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How the public is betting Thunder vs. Nuggets in Game 7 of NBA Playoffs

How the public is betting Thunder vs. Nuggets in Game 7 of NBA Playoffs

Published:

By: Sean Barnard

The magic of a Game 7 NBA Playoff matchup is here, as the Oklahoma City Thunder face off with the Denver Nuggets with a trip to the Conference Finals on the line. The youthful Thunder will challenge the former champions, with Nikola Jokic still making his clear case for the best basketball player in the world.

Aaron Gordon appears set to miss and is being considered “physically improbable” per ESPN’s Shams Charania due to the Grade 2 hamstring strain he suffered in the closing minutes of the previous game. The difference in depth was already a factor in this series, and Godon has stepped up as a key contributor throughout this series.

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Today’s matchup will be taking place in Oklahoma City, with the raucous home crowd hopeful the Thunder can make it back to the Conference Finals for the first time since the 2015-16 season. In contrast, Nikola Jokic is also 4-2 across his playoff career in Game 7 matchups.

The Thunder are 8-point favorites and hold -298 odds on the moneyline. The Nuggets hold +240 odds of getting the outright victory on DraftKings Sportsbook with the over/under set at 214.

Looking at the bets placed on DraftKings Sportsbook, it is an interesting mix.

53% of the bets and 59% of the betting handle on DraftKings Sportsbook are backing the Nuggets to pull off the outright upset on the road. This leaves 47% of the bets and 41% of the betting handle backing Oklahoma City on the moneyline.

75% of the bets placed on DraftKings Sportsbook are backing the Nuggets to cover the +8 spread, but this is only making up 54% of the betting handle. This leaves 25% of the bets and 46% of the betting handle backing the Thunder -8.

The largest discrepancy is in regards to the game total. 79% of the bets and 82% of the betting handle are backing the over of 214, leaving just 21% of the bets and 18% of the betting handle backing the under. So far in this series, the game total has gone over this number in five of the six games.

You can check back for updated betting splits on DraftKings Sportsbook here, with late money always a possibility.


Here are the most popular player props in the Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 7 matchup on DraftKings Sportbook:

  1. Nikola Jokic to record a Triple-Double (+170)
  2. Nikola Jokic Under 8.5 Assists (-135)
  3. Nikola Jokic 1st Point Scorer (+500)
  4. Nikola Jokic to record 35+ Points (+195)
  5. Jamal Murray 1st Point Scorer (+700)
  6. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to Record 30+ Points (-180)
  7. Nikola Jokic to Record 30+ Points (-125)
  8. Isaiah Hartenstein Over 19.5 Points & Rebounds (-115)
  9. Jamal Murray Over 21.5 Points (-115)
  10. Christian Braun Over 2.5 Assists (+110)

Looking at the futures market, there is plenty at stake today. Oklahoma City entered the playoffs as the favorites to win the Western Conference and with 54% of the bets and 34% of the betting handle backing them. 14% of the bets and 9% of the betting handle on DraftKings Sportsbook are also backing the Thunder to win the NBA championship.

Denver was also a fairly popular team in the futures market. 12% of the bets and 8% of the betting handle backed them to win the Western Conference on DraftKings Sportsbook. 7% of the bets and 8% of the betting handle are also backing the Nuggets to win the NBA Championship. Today’s results will decide which of these tickets will stay alive following this Game 7 matchup.

Sean Barnard is a Philadelphia-based writer with experience in the sports media and the betting space since 2020. He has a particular focus on the NBA, but covers a wide range that includes the NFL, WNBA, college basketball, and the MLB. Sean started working for DraftKings Network in 2024. Prior to this you can read his work at ClutchPoints, Philly Sports Network, and Heavy Sports. He also is still active in the Philadelphia Sports Radio scene and is a writer for Crossing Broad.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.