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How the public is betting Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes at UFC 314

How the public is betting Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes at UFC 314

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

Tonight in Miami, Florida, Alexander Volkanovski faces Diego Lopes for the UFC Featherweight Championship at UFC 314. In this Main Event, Volkanovski is the favorite at -155 with Lopes being a +130 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. Former champion Ilia Topuria vacated his title and moved up to the lightweight division a few months ago.

Let’s look at how the public is betting on this fight.


Betting Splits

In this fight, Lopes is the popular choice, as he receives 63 percent of the handle while getting 60 percent of the bets placed. Volkanovski is only being bet on 60 percent of the time, as 37 percent of the betting handle is on him. Of the five Main Card fights, Volk receives the least amount of the handle being bet.

Even though Volk is the former champion and favorite in this contest, the public is still wary, as it is unknown which version of himself will appear at UFC 314. From 2019 to 2022, Volk won five straight title fights but has gone 1-3 in his previous four bouts since then. Still, Volkanovski has only suffered one defeat at featherweight in his career (vs. Ilia Topuria at UFC 298). Fighters coming off a loss in championship bouts are 20-40-1, so the odds are stacked against the former champion.

Volkanovski and Lopes are both +300 to win this fight by KO/TKO on DraftKings Sportsbook. Lopes, 30, is 5-1 in the UFC but has won five straight fights in the last 21 months. The most significant victory of his career came at UFC 306 in September 2024 against Brian Ortega. Even though Volkanovski is entering his 10th straight title fight, the public is still confident in the underdog Lopes.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.