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MLB Expert Betting Stats, Picks, Predictions Today 3/31/25

MLB Expert Betting Stats, Picks, Predictions Today 3/31/25

MLB DraftKings Sportsbook Insights

Published:

By: Nick Friar

MLB betting stats below provide starting points for making the best picks possible on this slate. Keeping the focus primarily on the MLB games starting at 6:40 p.m. Eastern Time or later.

Standout MLB Stats

There were only four hitters who posted an ISO of .300 or better in games that were following a loss last season: Aaron Judge (.393), Juan Soto (.340), Shohei Ohtani (.312) and Brent Rooker (.304). Both Soto’s Mets and Rooker’s A’s enter Monday’s action coming off a loss.

Throughout the 84 times Rooker was in this setting, he posted an extra-base hit 43 times (27 home runs.) Soto was in the setting 66 times, and he logged 35 extra-base hits (24 home runs).

Notable MLB Betting Splits

  • The percentage of bets for the Mets-Marlins game total is nearly a 50-50 split, with 51% of the bets going toward the over. But, those bets have accounted for 77% of the game total handle.
  • Keep track of the latest updates to MLB betting splits here.
  • Shohei Ohtani Home Runs: 1+
  • *Kyle Schwarber Home Runs 1+
  • *Bobby Witt Jr. Home Runs: 1+
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Home Runs: 1+
  • Juan Soto Home Runs: 1+
  • Track up-to-date player prop popularity here.
  • *Early afternoon slate of MLB games.

4 Longest-Running Streaks

  • Xander Bogaerts has at least one hit in each of his last 22 home games vs. the Guardians.
  • Teoscar Hernandez logged a base hit in each of his previous 17 games vs. the Braves.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. finished with at least one hit in his last 17 games that the Padres were favored.
  • Taylor Ward has a hit in each of his last 16 road games.

Active System: NRFI when Road underdog is coming off a win

It’s a small sample size, but NRFI is 7-2 when a road underdog favorite is coming off a win this season. Last season, this system hit 54.5% of the time.

Four games fit this system:

  • CLE at SD
  • LAA at STL
  • WSH at TOR
  • SF at HOU

Guardians games saw NRFI hit most (17-10) in this setting throughout 2024 among the four road underdogs mentioned above. Angels games saw it hit least frequently of the bunch (14-15).

Nick Friar

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.