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Tennessee vs. Kentucky NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions – NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Tennessee vs. Kentucky NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions – NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

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By: DK.Network.Editors

This Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup between the No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (29-7, 12-6 SEC) and No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (24-11, 10-8 SEC) will determine which of the teams is heading to the Midwest regional final when it tips off tonight at Lucas Oil Stadium, starting at 7:39 p.m. ET, airing on TBS.


Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions

  • Our prediction to win on the Moneyline in this matchup is Tennessee.
  • Against the spread, we expect that Kentucky will cover. The spread is currently Kentucky +4.5.
  • As for the total, we see this one going over the posted over/under of 144.5 points. Our projected total for the match is 149.8 points.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Odds

  • Spread: Tennessee (-4.5)
  • Moneyline: Tennessee -200 | Kentucky +166
  • Total: 144.5

  • The Volunteers have compiled a 19-17-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Tennessee is 13-13 ATS this season when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
  • A total of 16 out of the Volunteers’ 36 games this season have gone over the point total.
  • The Volunteers have won 86.2% of the games this season when they were the Moneyline favorite (25-4).
  • When playing as a Moneyline favorite with odds of -200 or shorter, Tennessee has a record of 21-2 (91.3% win percentage).
  • The Wildcats have won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
  • Kentucky has covered the spread six times this season (6-4 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
  • In the Wildcats’ 35 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 19 times.
  • The Wildcats have entered the game as underdogs 12 times this season and won seven, or 58.3%, of those games.
  • This season, Kentucky has won five of its nine games, or 55.6%, when it is the underdog by at least +166 on the Moneyline.

Tennessee Key Stats

  • Points: 74.6 PPG (151st) | FG%: 45.5% (130th)
  • Opp. Points: 62.9 PPG (8th) | Opp. FG%: 38.3% (1st)
  • Rebounds: 33.2 RPG (104th) | Opp. Rebounds: 27.4 RPG (14th)
  • Assists: 15.5 APG (61st) | Turnovers: 9.6 TPG (40th)
  • Steals: 7.0 SPG (150th) | Blocks: 4.9 BPG (20th)

Kentucky Key Stats

  • Points: 85.0 PPG (6th) | FG%: 48.2% (25th)
  • Opp. Points: 77.2 PPG (315th) | Opp. FG%: 43.5% (157th)
  • Rebounds: 34.5 RPG (50th) | Opp. Rebounds: 32.1 RPG (240th)
  • Assists: 17.1 APG (13th) | Turnovers: 10.3 TPG (98th)
  • Steals: 6.9 SPG (156th) | Blocks: 4.1 BPG (73rd)

This article contains AI-generated editorial insights provided by Data Skrive.


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