The No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (26-8) take on the No. 7 seed Saint Mary’s Gaels (29-5) with a Sweet 16 spot on the line on Sunday at Rocket Arena.
Alabama vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Predictions
- Our prediction to win on the Moneyline in this game is Alabama.
- Against the spread, we predict that Alabama will cover. The spread is currently Alabama -5.5.
- As for the total, we see this one going over the posted over/under of 149 points. Our projected total for the match is 153.3 points.
Alabama vs. Saint Mary’s (CA) Odds
- Spread: Alabama (-5.5)
- Moneyline: Alabama -230 | Saint Mary’s (CA) +189
- Total: 149
Alabama Betting Trends
- The Crimson Tide have won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 15 times.
- Alabama has been favored by 5.5 points or more 21 times this season, and covered the spread in 11 of those games.
- A total of 20 out of the Crimson Tide’s 34 games this season have hit the over.
- The Crimson Tide are 21-5 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 80.8% of those games).
- In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -230 or shorter, Alabama has gone 18-2 (90% win percentage).
Saint Mary’s (CA) Betting Trends
- The Gaels have compiled a 14-19-0 ATS record so far this season.
- Saint Mary’s (CA) has won its only game this season when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
- So far this season, 13 out of the Gaels’ 33 games with an over/under have hit the over.
- The Gaels have been underdogs in four games this season and won three (75%) of those contests.
- Saint Mary’s (CA) has played as an underdog of +189 or more once this season and won that game.
Alabama Key Stats
- Points: 91.1 PPG (1st) | FG%: 48.5% (19th)
- Opp. Points: 81.4 PPG (356th) | Opp. FG%: 42.5% (94th)
- Rebounds: 39.2 RPG (2nd) | Opp. Rebounds: 33 RPG (290th)
- Assists: 17 APG (15th) | Turnovers: 12.1 TPG (266th)
- Steals: 6.1 SPG (257th) | Blocks: 4.4 BPG (51st)
Saint Mary’s (CA) Key Stats
- Points: 73.1 PPG (198th) | FG%: 45.4% (140th)
- Opp. Points: 60.5 PPG (4th) | Opp. FG%: 40.8% (32nd)
- Rebounds: 36.6 RPG (11th) | Opp. Rebounds: 25.8 RPG (3rd)
- Assists: 15.3 APG (66th) | Turnovers: 9.2 TPG (15th)
- Steals: 6.1 SPG (257th) | Blocks: 4 BPG (81st)
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.