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Mississippi State vs. Texas NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions – March 4

Mississippi State vs. Texas NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions – March 4

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By: DK.Network.Editors

The Texas Longhorns (16-13, 5-11 SEC) will try to halt a three-game losing stretch when visiting the Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-9, 8-8 SEC) tonight at Humphrey Coliseum. This game is at 8:00 p.m. ET on SEC Network.


Mississippi State vs. Texas Predictions

  • Our pick to win on the Moneyline in this matchup is Mississippi State.
  • Against the spread, we expect that Texas will cover. The spread is currently Texas +6.5.
  • As for the total, it’s too close to call relative to the posted over/under of 150.5. Our projected total for the match is 150.5 points.

Mississippi State vs. Texas Odds

  • Spread: Mississippi State (-6.5)
  • Moneyline: Mississippi State -265 | Texas +215
  • Total: 150.5

  • The Bulldogs have compiled a 13-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • Mississippi State has been favored by 6.5 points or more 14 times this season, and covered the spread in six of those contests.
  • In the Bulldogs’ 29 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 16 times.
  • The Bulldogs have gone 18-6 in games they were favored on the Moneyline (winning 75% of those games).
  • Mississippi State has gone 12-2 when playing as a Moneyline favorite with odds of -265 or shorter (winning 85.7%).
  • The Longhorns have put together a 13-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • Texas has been an underdog by 6.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
  • The Longhorns and their opponents have combined to hit the over 18 out of 29 times this year.
  • The Longhorns have won one of the nine games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Texas has not won as an underdog of +215 or more on the Moneyline this season in four games with those odds or longer.

Mississippi State Key Stats

  • Points: 79.1 PPG (58th) | FG%: 45.4% (142nd)
  • Opp. Points: 73.1 PPG (214th) | Opp. FG%: 43.3% (143rd)
  • Rebounds: 35.9 RPG (25th) | Opp. Rebounds: 32.3 RPG (261st)
  • Assists: 15.2 APG (77th) | Turnovers: 10.4 TPG (98th)
  • Steals: 9.3 SPG (14th) | Blocks: 4.7 BPG (31st)

Texas Key Stats

  • Points: 78.0 PPG (78th) | FG%: 46.5% (92nd)
  • Opp. Points: 70.8 PPG (146th) | Opp. FG%: 42.7% (111th)
  • Rebounds: 32.4 RPG (157th) | Opp. Rebounds: 30.9 RPG (167th)
  • Assists: 13.4 APG (203rd) | Turnovers: 9.4 TPG (28th)
  • Steals: 6.4 SPG (229th) | Blocks: 4.3 BPG (53rd)

This article contains AI-generated editorial insights provided by Data Skrive.


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