A victory by the Detroit Lions over the Washington Commanders is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming matchup at 8 p.m. ET (at Ford Field). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
Lions vs. Commanders Predictions
- Our pick to win on the Moneyline in this contest is the Lions, by a final score of Lions 33, Commanders 19.
- Against the spread, we expect that the Lions will cover. The spread is currently Lions -9.5.
- As for the total, we see this one going under the posted over/under of 55.5 points. Our projected total for the match is 52.2 points.
Lions vs. Commanders Odds
- Spread favorite: Lions (-9.5)
- Moneyline: Lions (-469), Commanders (+360)
- Total: 55.5 points
Lions Betting Trends
- The Lions are 12-4-1 ATS this season.
- Detroit is 2-1 against the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in nine of the Lions’ 17 games with a set total.
- The Lions have a 14-2 record in games they were listed as the Moneyline favorite (winning 87.5% of those games).
- Detroit has won all three games it has played as a Moneyline favorite with odds of -469 or shorter.
Commanders Betting Trends
- The Commanders won 10 games against the spread in the regular season, while failing to cover seven times. In the playoffs, they have an ATS record of 1-0-0.
- The Commanders and their opponent combined to go over the point total 11 out of 17 times in the regular season. As for the playoffs, zero of one games have topped the over.
- The Commanders won three of the six games in which they were underdogs during the regular season, and are 1-0 in the postseason.
- Washington has not entered a regular season or playoff game this season with longer Moneyline odds than +360.
Lions Key Stats
- Total offense: 409.5 yards per game, second in NFL
- Passing offense: 263.2 yards per game, second in NFL
- Rushing offense: 146.4 yards per game, sixth in NFL
- Total defense: 342.4 yards per game, 20th in NFL
- Passing defense: 244 yards per game, 30th in NFL
- Rushing defense: 98.4 yards per game, fifth in NFL
Commanders Key Stats
- Total offense: 369.6 yards per game, seventh in NFL
- Passing offense: 215.6 yards per game, 17th in NFL
- Rushing offense: 154.1 yards per game, third in NFL
- Total defense: 326.9 yards per game, 13th in NFL
- Passing defense: 189.8 yards per game, third in NFL
- Rushing defense: 137.1 yards per game, 29th in NFL
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.