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Bijan Robinson best bets for Falcons at Commanders

Bijan Robinson best bets for Falcons at Commanders

Updated:

By: Alex Hunter

The Falcons are facing the Commanders in Washington for Week 17’s edition of Sunday Night Football. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Washington is favored by 3.5 points and this game’s total is set at 46 points.

Below, I have featured my favorite Bijan Robinson prop to consider from this contest.

Best Bijan Robinson Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Bijan Robinson O 18.5 Carries (-125)

Ever since the Falcons’ bye in Week 12, Robinson has handled a monster workload. Over the last four weeks, the former Texas Longhorn has led the NFL with 23 carries per game, which is 69.7% of the Falcons’ running back carries, while logging 77.9% of the snaps. Robinson has recorded at least 22 carries in all four of these games and notably two of these contests were losses, which is important to note with Atlanta being a 3.5-point underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook for Sunday night’s matchup vs. the Commanders.

The Falcons must win this game to stay alive for a playoff spot and with so much at stake, Robinson should see nothing less than 20 carries, especially with rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. under center. While it was a 27-point win for Atlanta, the Falcons ran the ball at a 58.1% clip with Penix making his first career start last Sunday vs. the Giants.

Furthermore, Washington is far more vulnerable on the ground than through the air, so Atlanta’s game plan should be based around feeding Robinson. Over the last three weeks, the Commanders are allowing the seventh-most yards per rush (4.8) and the fourth-fewest yards per pass (5.3).

In this situation, 18.5-carries is simply too low for Robinson and he is a must-bet for this over on DraftKings Sportsbook on Sunday.


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.