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NFL Best Bets: Patrick Mahomes prop bets against the Texans

NFL Best Bets: Patrick Mahomes prop bets against the Texans

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

On Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs and star QB Patrick Mahomes avoided a serious injury against the Cleveland Browns. Mahomes suffered a high-ankle sprain, but the Chiefs still pulled out the victory. On Saturday, December 21, the Houston Texans host the defending Super Bowl Champions at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Mahomes is on track to start on Saturday after practicing fully on Tuesday and Wednesday. Below, I detail some Patrick Mahomes prop bets for Saturday’s matchup vs. the Texans.

Best Patrick Mahomes Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook

Patrick Mahomes over 223.5 passing yards (-115)

Mahomes passed for 159 yards against the Browns, his second-lowest total of the year. That was his second game passing for under 223.5 yards. But he hit that mark in four of the previous five games before those two contests.

He has finished with 224 or more passing yards in eight of 14 games this season. In Mahomes’ seven seasons as a starter in the NFL, he has not had more than two straight games of fewer than 223.5 passing yards. Getting Mahomes to record at least 224 passing yards against the Texans at -115 on DraftKings Sportsbook is excellent value.

Patrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-150)

Dating back to last season, Mahomes’ passing touchdowns have been down. In four of his first five years as a start, he had 37 or more touchdowns four times. Last season, Mahomes only had 27, and he has 22 touchdowns this year.

The Chiefs have leaned on their defense more often in the last two seasons, leading to Mahomes being inconsistent in scoring touchdowns. He has thrown over 1.5 touchdowns in seven of the 14 games he has played in. He has only hit that mark once in the previous three games. The Chiefs could lean on their rushing attack with Mahomes coming off an injury. If that is the case, you can back Mahomes to go under in passing touchdowns at -150.


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All odds provided byย DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ryanwohl) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.